1、 Market trend
In early June 2026, the domestic market price of butanone continued to decline from a high level, and the market price fell rapidly. The market price dropped unilaterally from 9066 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month to 7900 yuan/ton, with a decline of 12.87% in the latter half of the month.
2、 Core influencing factors
Imbalance in supply and demand pattern
At present, the operating rate of domestic butanone plants has increased, and there is a significant increase in market supply. However, downstream industries such as coatings and adhesives have weak demand, and procurement is mainly based on rigid needs, lacking centralized replenishment support. The pattern of oversupply has driven down prices.
Weak cost support
The upstream raw material C4 price of butanone continues to weaken, and the production cost of butanone is synchronously lowered, losing the cost side support. The pricing pressure on enterprises is increasing, further lowering the market price center.
Market sentiment is pessimistic
The high price operation in the early stage has accumulated certain downward pressure, coupled with the weak macro environment, the bearish sentiment in the market has spread, and traders have sold their goods at low prices, exacerbating the price decline.
3、 Future prospects
At present, the trading atmosphere in the butanone market is still light. In the short term, the butanone market still faces the dual pressure of loose supply and weak demand. It is expected that the market price will maintain a low oscillation trend, and the rebound momentum will be insufficient. If the upstream raw material prices stop falling and rebound in the future, or if the downstream industry’s operating rate increases and there is a concentrated replenishment of inventory, the downward trend is expected to slow down.
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