In the half of November, the DME market went further and further on the way of price increase. At present, all regions in China have broken through the 3000 yuan / ton mark. According to the data monitoring of business agency, the average price of dimethyl ether in Henan market on November 1 was 2620.00 yuan / ton, and on November 17 it was 3036.67 yuan / ton, with an increase of 15.90% in the first half of the month and 2.59% higher than that of the same period last year.

As of November 17, the quotation of each region is as follows:

Regional specification Date Quotation

Mass fraction of dimethyl ether in Shandong area: ≥ 99.0% Nov. 17 2950-3050 yuan / ton

The mass fraction of dimethyl ether in Hebei Province: ≥ 99.0% 3000 yuan / ton

The mass fraction of dimethyl ether in Henan Province: ≥ 99.0% 2940-3080 yuan / ton

In the first two days of November, the rise of methyl ether Market was not obvious. At the beginning of the month, due to the decline of international crude oil and the weakening of methanol and civil gas markets, dimethyl ether prices fell slightly from January to February, and began to stop falling and rising on the third. However, due to the limited favorable market conditions, the market transaction atmosphere turned better than the previous period. In the lower reaches, the enthusiasm for entering the market is higher, the market trading is obviously better, and the manufacturer’s mentality is firm, and the ex factory price is slightly increased.

In the second week, dimethyl ether market rose rapidly, up as much as 12% in the week. The sharp rise in the cost of methanol has brought strong support to the dimethyl ether Market. During this period, the international crude oil continued to rise, driving up the civil price of liquefied petroleum gas, which significantly boosted the market. In addition, the weather is cooling down, the terminal demand has been improved, the downstream replenishment cycle has been shortened, the market entry is more active, the market transaction atmosphere is gradually improved, the manufacturer’s mentality is strong, and the quotation is greatly increased. At the beginning of the month, the price of methyl ether was raised by RMB 26350 / T in the beginning of the month.

At present, in the third half of the third week, all regions in China have broken through the 3000 yuan / ton mark, and the price of dimethyl ether has not stopped, but the range has narrowed compared with the previous period. On the 17th, although the raw material methanol market fluctuated slightly, it was still at a relatively high level, which still had some support for the market. However, the weakness of LPG civil market has brought some pressure on DME market. The wait-and-see mood in the downstream increased, and the market entry was more cautious, and the market transaction atmosphere turned weaker than that in the earlier stage. On the 17th, the international crude oil rebounded, bringing certain favorable support to the market.

On the 17th, the methanol market was up and down. The market of methanol in Shanxi Province went up, the mainstream transaction price of Linfen in Shanxi Province was stable at 1950-1970 yuan / t spot exchange; the online auction transaction in Changzhi area reached 2010-2020 yuan / t spot exchange; the mainstream transaction price in Jincheng area increased by 30-50 yuan / ton to 2050-2060 yuan / ton. The methanol market in southern Shandong is temporarily stable at about 2060-2080 yuan / ton, and Linyi receives the mainstream local price of 2060 yuan / ton and delivers it without tax, while the mainstream quotation of logistics goods is 2030 yuan / ton and delivered to the place without tax. The transaction volume of methanol market in central Shandong was stable to 2150 yuan / ton, while the transaction volume of peripheral goods dropped to 2020-2030 yuan / T, and the focus shifted downward.

At present, the market is still dominated by good market, and the high level of raw material methanol supports the market obviously. Although the rising range has narrowed, the mentality of manufacturers is relatively strong. Moreover, the rebound of international crude oil is good for the LPG market, and the domestic gas in some areas has risen slightly, which brings certain benefits to the market. The DME market is expected to be strong in the short term.

According to the monitoring of business agency, the coking coal market in North China on November 17 was about 1400 yuan / ton, down 3.56% compared with the same period last year. The price of coking coal is relatively strong.

On November 16, the coking coal commodity index was 103.32, unchanged with yesterday, 14.98% lower than 121.53 (2019-03-12), and 130.06% higher than 44.91, the lowest point on January 28, 2016. (Note: period refers to 2012-09-01 to now)

According to the business association, the coal enterprises started operation basically stable, most coal enterprises maintained normal production, the sales of low sulfur main coke were smooth, the inventory continued to be low, and the price rose steadily.

Demand: on the downstream side, the coke price is high and stable temporarily. The seventh round of increase is not responded by the downstream steel plants, and the coke steel game is continuing. In terms of supply, the plan of de capacity in Shanxi and Hebei is gradually implemented, and the supply is slightly tight. Today, the mainstream price of quasi primary wet quenching coke in Shanxi is about 1980-2080 yuan / ton. The demand of downstream steel mills is still good, flat compared with the previous period. In terms of ports, the prices of the two ports in Shandong Province remained stable for the time being, and the inventory declined slightly. The trading atmosphere in the market was good, and the traders quoted actively. Today, the mainstream spot exchange of quasi first grade coke was 2300 yuan / ton. In the future, the recent focus is on the acceptance of the seventh round of increase in steel mills, the implementation of de capacity in various regions and the change of coke inventory in each link.

According to the coking coal analysts of the business society, the high price of coke is the main factor in the downstream. The seventh round of increase in the price of coke has not been responded by the downstream steel mills. The game between coke and steel is continuing. Under the high profits, the coke enterprises start to operate at a high level, and the purchasing enthusiasm is fair. On the whole, it is expected that coking coal will be mainly operated in a short term or strong way in the short term.

1、 Price trend

This week, the selling price of sulfuric acid in Shandong Province rose, with the quotation rising from 402.50 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 415.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 12.50 yuan / ton or 3.11%. Overall, the sulfuric acid market rose this week, and the sulfuric acid commodity index on November 13 was 64.59.

2、 Market analysis

From the manufacturer’s quotation, the price of mainstream sulfuric acid manufacturers in Shandong increased this week, with less inventory and stronger downstream demand. Heze Jiangyuan quoted 450 yuan / ton at the weekend, which was 50 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; Zouping Tianlu offered 290 yuan / ton at the weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Jinan Yuanfei quoted 350 yuan / T, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; kunshengda of Taiyuan City quoted 570 yuan / T at the weekend, which was temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week.

From the perspective of the upstream and downstream industrial chain, the upstream sulfur market has been consolidation at a high level recently, and the cost support is good. However, the market of monoammonium phosphate, diammonium phosphate and bromine in the lower reaches of the market has a positive impact on sulfuric acid. At the same time, some sulfuric acid factories are short of operation recently, the load is reduced, and the supply of sulfuric acid is in short supply.

3、 Future forecast

In the middle and late November, the sulfuric acid Market in Shandong Province was mainly fluctuated. The price of sulfur in the upstream has been high recently, and the downstream market is good. The purchasing enthusiasm of the downstream for sulfuric acid is normal, and the product trend is upward under the contradiction between supply and demand. The sulfuric acid analysts of the business agency believe that the short-term Shandong market in the supply and demand and raw materials and other aspects of the impact of sulfuric acid market or a small shock rise.

Today, the price of ethylene oxide has been adjusted, and some regions have risen by 100 yuan, of which the factory price of mainstream East China is 7300 yuan / ton.

Affected by the South Korean ethylene plant accident and various factors, the Asian ethylene market CFR Northeast Asia closed up 55 to 840 US dollars / ton on the 11th, and CFR Southeast Asia closed up 30 to 765 US dollars / ton. The rising trend of raw materials has not been reduced, which has driven the downstream products to follow up, and the cost side has formed a favorable support. At present, the overhaul and shutdown of many units have resulted in the shortage of ethylene oxide resources. Market participants pointed out that at present, most of the products are guaranteed by contract. For users outside the contract, dealers often adopt a conservative situation in supply, and the situation of difficult supply of one product is still the same. The wait-and-see atmosphere in the downstream is slightly reduced, but the demand side is weak, so it is difficult to have a big rise.

Although there are many favorable aspects at present, the overall situation is constrained by the demand side, so it is difficult to have a grand occasion.

In November, the market price of dimethyl ether began to rise, and the prices of all regions in China were mainly increased. According to the data monitoring of business agency, the average price of dimethyl ether in Henan market was 2620.00 yuan / ton on November 1, and 2676.67 yuan / ton on November 10, with an increase of 2.16% during the period and 4.69% higher than that on October 1.

As of November 10, the quotation of each region is as follows:

Regional specification Date Quotation

Mass fraction of dimethyl ether in Shandong area: ≥ 99.0%, 2940 yuan / ton

The mass fraction of dimethyl ether in Hebei Province: ≥ 99.0% on November 10, 2900 yuan / ton

The mass fraction of dimethyl ether in Henan Province: ≥ 99.0%. November 10: 2620-2750 yuan / ton

At the beginning of November, the decline of international crude oil depressed the market mentality. The cost methanol and civil gas markets both weakened. Dimethyl ether came down under pressure. The price dropped slightly from 1 to 2 days. However, from the 3rd day, the trend showed a continuous upward trend, and the market transaction atmosphere improved. There are four main reasons for the rising market this time: first, the sharp rise of international crude oil has brought obvious support to the market; second, the significant increase in the cost of methanol has brought obvious advantages; second, the civil market of liquefied petroleum gas is dominant on the whole, and the third is that the Shandong market range is about 100 yuan / ton; and the last point is that the terminal demand has increased with the continuous decline of weather and temperature. The downstream replenishment cycle is shortened, and the enthusiasm of entering the market is higher under the buying up mentality. The market trading is obviously improved, and the manufacturer’s mentality is firm, and the ex factory price is continuously raised. Taking Henan xinlianxin as an example, the minimum guaranteed settlement price announced on November 1 was 2600 yuan / ton, and the price was continuously raised from the 4th to 2680 yuan / ton on November 10.

On the 10th, the market in Henan, the main production area, was more rational, with an increase range of 20-30 yuan / ton, and the mainstream quotation was about 2620-2750 yuan / ton. Due to the lack of market supply in Hebei market, the rise rate was 150 yuan / ton, and so was Shandong market. Only one enterprise delivered goods normally, with an increase rate of 150 yuan / ton.

The sharp rise of methanol cost has brought strong support to the dimethyl ether Market. On the 10th, the transaction price of Shandong methanol in Lubei market rose slightly, reaching 2050 yuan / ton, which was delivered to spot exchange. However, few transactions were made. The methanol market in the south of Shandong Province rose by 40-60 yuan / ton to about 1990-2030 yuan / ton, Linyi received the local goods quotation of 2020-2030 yuan / ton and delivered them without tax; the quotation of logistics goods was 1990-2000 yuan / ton delivered without tax. Northwest higher, southern Shandong local supply is tight, business mentality is supported. The transaction volume of methanol market in central Shandong Province rose to 2020 yuan / T, and the transaction of peripheral goods increased to 2000-2020 yuan / T delivered cash, with the transaction focus on high-end.

At present, the international crude oil continues to rise, which brings obvious support to the market. The civil market of liquefied petroleum gas is mainly followed by the rise, and the cost of methanol market also rises widely. Under the multiple favorable conditions, the manufacturers have a strong mentality and a good shipping atmosphere. And as the weather continues to cool down, the terminal demand is still expected to improve. In the future, there is still room for the DME market to rise.