Price Trend

According to the data of business associations’big list, the domestic TDI market price rose slightly this week. At the beginning of the week, the average market price was 1250.00 yuan/ton. At the end of the week, the average market price was 12566.67 yuan/ton. Within the week, it fell by 0.53%, 58.53% compared with the same period last year.

II. Market Analysis

Products: This week, the TDI market in eastern China is mainly consolidated and operated, with a slight increase in price trend, a light inquiry atmosphere on the spot, a sluggish real order transaction, and accompanying market shipments. Up to 21 days, China’s domestic goods with tickets are quoted near 12700 yuan/ton, Shanghai’s goods with tickets are quoted at 12700-12900 yuan/ton, South China’s domestic goods with tickets are quoted at 12600-12800 yuan/ton, Shanghai’s goods with tickets are quoted at 12800-13000 yuan/ton, North China’s domestic goods with tickets are quoted at 12600-12700 yuan/ton, and Shanghai’s goods with tickets are quoted at 12600-12700 yuan/ton. Reference 12800-12900 yuan/ton.

Industry chain: This week, the price trend of nitric acid in the upstream of domestic TDI is stable, and the market price is about 1783.33 yuan/ton. The supply of nitric acid is not large, the quotation of manufacturers is stable, and the nitric acid is in good condition. Domestic toluene prices continued to rise this week, with an average of 5,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 5,075 yuan/ton on Friday, a 1.50% increase in the week. Rising raw material prices in the upstream have a negative impact on downstream TDI.

3. Future Market Forecast

According to the data analyst of business associations, at present, the domestic TDI market is consolidating and running, the inquiry trading on the spot is still in a low ebb, the actual single transaction is scarce, the low expectation of the operators is not big, and the buyers and sellers are deadlocked and wait-and-see. It is expected that the TDI market will be sorted out in the later period.

On June 24, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 103.51, unchanged from yesterday, down 12.59% from the peak of 118.42 points in the cycle (2019-01-15), and up 33.79% from the low of 77.37 points on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plant shuts down more, domestic ammonium nitrate plant starts less, but with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappears. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles, and the price trend in the field declines. As of the 24th, domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2050 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas have been forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance for environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is temporarily stable.

Recently, the domestic price of nitric acid has been stable. The market price of nitric acid is 1760 yuan/ton on the 24th day. The rising trend of nitric acid price has a positive impact on the market of ammonium nitrate, and the price of ammonium nitrate is stable. The price of liquid ammonia in the upstream has slightly declined. As of the 24th, the price of manufacturer in the northern region has been maintained in the range of 3000-3400 yuan/ton, while that in the northwest region is around 290-3000 yuan/ton. The declining price trend of cruise raw materials has a negative impact on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market is shaking at a low level because of the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to remain low in the latter part of the shocks.

First, the trend of the market:

According to statistics, the price of phthalic anhydride has slightly declined this week. The price of phthalic anhydride this weekend is 5550 yuan.ton, down 1.48% from 5633.33 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 21.69% from the same period last year. The phthalic anhydride unit in Shandong province is 5600-5700 yuan per ton self-lifting, the main stream of phthalic anhydride negotiation in Jiangsu province is 5500-5600 yuan per ton, and the market is well supplied in spot. The naphthalene phthalic anhydride unit starts normally, and the current quotation is 5200-5300 yuan per ton.

II. Market analysis:

Products: In recent years, the price trend of domestic phthalic anhydride market has slightly declined, the market opening rate of phthalic anhydride is about 70%, the market of phthalic anhydride in East China has been declining, downstream factories have just needed to purchase, the inventory pressure of factories has continued, high-end transactions have been blocked, the mainstream of in-site neighbouring method supply negotiations is between 5500 and 5700 yuan/ton, and the mainstream of naphthalene method supply negotiations is between 5200 and 5300 yuan/ton; the market owners of phthalic anhydride The current quotation is between 5500 and 5700 yuan/ton, the market is weak and shocky. The quotations of enterprises are slightly lower, the downstream start-up is not high, the purchase on demand is the main, the wait-and-see mentality is strong, the domestic phthalic anhydride plant is stable, the spot supply of phthalic anhydride is sufficient, the stock situation is not good, and the price trend of phthalic anhydride is slightly declining.

Industry chain: Recently, the execution price of phthalic anhydride upstream product, Sinopec o-phthalic acid, is 5900 yuan/ton. The actual market transaction price is 5900 yuan/ton. The quotation is lower and the port supply is general. The price of raw materials mixed xylene in the upstream of phenyl fluctuates and falls. The turnover of phenyl is general. The stock of phenyl in the port is low. The quotation of phenyl outer plate is slightly lower. The actual transaction price of imported phenyl is discussed in detail. The upstream price trend is declining, and the market price of phthalic anhydride is lower. DOP prices downstream slightly fell, down 0.70% this week. Recently, in the DOP market in Zhejiang Province, merchants’quotations have been maintained at around 7000 yuan/ton, while downstream prices are at a low level. Demand for upstream phthalic anhydride is limited, and the market price of phthalic anhydride is declining.

Industry: Recent plasticizer industry trend is general, terminal downstream demand is limited, phthalic anhydride market price trend is falling.

3. Future market forecast:

Recently, the price of phthalic anhydride in the upstream has maintained a low level, and the DOP market in the downstream has a good trend over the weekend. Phthalic anhydride analysts of business associations believe that the market price trend of phthalic anhydride may remain volatile, with prices between 5550 and 5600 yuan/ton.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the market price of n-propanol rose slightly as of June 19, and the quotation of sample enterprises increased by 1.57% compared with last week. At present, the mainstream quotation of domestic n-propanol traders is around 9000-11500 yuan/ton. Due to the big price difference between different packaging specifications, the mainstream quotation of imported barreled n-propanol from Dalian, Taiwan is around 1160-12000 yuan/ton.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Propanol market is growing steadily and moderately as a whole. Propanol manufactured by Nanjing Rongxin Chemical Co., Ltd. is quoted at 8500 yuan/ton (bulk water contains tax). Propanol sold by Shandong Fengcang Chemical Co., Ltd. is quoted at 11000 yuan/ton (including tax barrels). Propanol imported from Dalian, Taiwan, sold by Shanghai Lianyi Chemical Co., Ltd. is quoted at 11800 yuan/ton (including tax barrels). Tax barrel specifications: 165 kg.

Industry chain: Propylene oxide market price of upstream products rose slightly, and replenishment warehouse was opened at the downstream market when the price was low. Phased shipment of factories improved, and inventory digestion of main factories.

3. Future Market Forecast

According to the business association’s forecast, the n-propanol market will remain stable in the short term.

On June 18, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 103.51, which was the same as yesterday. It was 12.59% lower than the peak of 118.42 points in the cycle (2019-01-15), and 33.79% higher than the lowest point of 77.37 points on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

Recently, the price trend of domestic ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plant shuts down more, domestic ammonium nitrate plant starts less, but with the warming of the weather recently, the influence of northern air limitation disappears. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles, and the price trend in the field declines. As of the 18th, domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2050 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance for environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is temporarily stable.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend is temporarily stable, up to 18 days, the market price is 1760 yuan/ton. The rising trend of nitric acid price has a positive impact on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate is stable. The price trend of upstream raw material liquid ammonia has slightly declined. As of 18 days, the price quoted by manufacturers in the northern region is maintained in the range of 3000-3400 yuan/ton, while that in the northwest region is around 290-3000 yuan/ton. The declining price trend of cruise raw materials has a negative impact on the ammonium nitrate market, and the price trend of ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market is shaking at a low level because of the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to remain low in the latter part of the shocks.