According to the price monitoring data of the business club, as of July 22, the average reference price of domestic n-propanol was 6950 yuan / ton, which was 50 yuan / ton higher than that on July 20, or 0.72%; Compared with the price on July 1, the average price decreased by 950 yuan / ton, or 12%.

Market downturn after a few days, the domestic propanol market rebounded slightly

At the beginning of July, the domestic n-propanol market continued to decline. The main reason for the decline of market price was that at the beginning of this month, a large factory in Shandong Province opened a new n-propanol production plant, and the ex factory quotation of n-propanol bulk water was 6100 yuan / ton. The large factory’s low price and the increase of n-propanol supply on the floor led to the decline of n-propanol suppliers on the floor, and the overall market was weak. Until the 20th, the factory price of n-propanol was slightly adjusted by 250 yuan / ton. At present, the factory price of n-propanol rose to 6250 yuan / ton. As of the 22nd, the market of n-propanol in Shandong has not kept up with the pace of large-scale rise, and the spot price of n-propanol continued to maintain the early quotation. In Nanjing area of Jiangsu Province, the ex factory price of n-propanol bulk water is stable at 8000-8500 yuan / ton. In Nanjing Rongxin Chemical Co., Ltd., the n-propanol production unit starts normally, and the ex factory quotation of n-propanol is 8500 yuan / ton. Because dealers and traders have reservations about the price, it is not easy to monitor the commodity price. The specific price is negotiated on a single basis. In addition, the quotation of each region is also different. The price is for reference only.

As for upstream ethylene, since July, the external market of ethylene has risen as a whole. According to the monitoring data of business news agency, on July 21, the price of FD American Gulf was 1045-1062 US dollars / ton in the US ethylene market. Recently, the US ethylene market is stable and the demand is poor. On July 21, the European ethylene market quotation, FD northwest Europe quotation 1160-1170 US dollars / ton, CIF northwest Europe quotation 1063-1071 US dollars / ton, up 3 US dollars / ton. On July 21, the Asian ethylene market quotation, CFR Northeast Asia quotation 1001-1011 US dollars / ton, CFR Southeast Asia quotation 966-976 US dollars / ton. Recently, ethylene prices in Asia are mainly stable. International oil prices rose sharply. Although the US commercial crude oil inventory increased for the first time in eight weeks, the market risk index preference improved and oil prices rebounded sharply.

Forecast of the future trend of propanol

At present, after the price increase of n-propanol in Shandong, it has played a positive supporting role in the overall market, and the shipping confidence of operators has increased. Therefore, the analysts of business society think that in the short term, the market situation of n-propanol may continue to rise slightly.

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of July 21, the average quotation price of domestic premium DMF enterprises was 12450.00 yuan / ton. Recently, the market price of DMF has been stable, with a large increase in the early stage. At present, it is in the stage of digestion and consolidation. Compared with the same period last month, the price of DMF has increased by 12.84%, and the price change is small compared with the same period last week.

In the near future, the price of DMF is mainly stable, digesting the early increase, and purchasing from downstream rigid demand. At present, the inventory is in normal operation, and it is stable in the short term. Compared with the price at the beginning of July, the price of DMF has increased by 14.22%. Compared with the price at the same period last week, there is no obvious change, and the price has increased by 12.84% compared with the same period last month, Maintain the early trend in the short term.

On July 20, the chemical industry index was 1099 points, up 4 points from yesterday, reaching a record high in the cycle, up 83.78% from the lowest point of 598 points on April 8, 2020（ Note: period refers to the period from December 1, 2011 to now

Business agency DMF analysts believe: DMF will remain stable in the short term（ For more information on the latest industry chain, welcome to pay attention to official account of business community, obtain commodity information, and grasp commodity price.

Zinc prices rose overall

According to the data monitoring of the business news agency, the zinc market was stimulated by the news of the state’s investment and storage in July, and the rise of zinc price slowed down, but the overall zinc price still fluctuated and rose; As of July 20, zinc prices rose 1.61% in July. As of July 20, the price of zinc was 22893.33 yuan / ton, up from 22530 yuan on July 1. The price of zinc fluctuated and rose. The positive stimulus of zinc market still exists.

Tight supply, rising electricity prices, power rationing and upgrading

After entering July, the country has experienced high temperature weather in succession, and the power consumption has risen. With the frequent release of high temperature warning in various places, the strong demand for power coal caused by the peak of power consumption this summer has attracted attention from many parties. In order to ensure the local power coal supply, Henan Province has made the decision that all coal mines should not export power coal, which highlights the pressure of market supply guarantee. According to the statistics of business news agency, as of July 2021, China’s coal prices have increased by different ranges. Among them, the price of steam coal increased by 26%, the price of coking coal increased by 39%, and the price of coal reached a 10-year high! The price of coal rises, and the power consumption of the whole society continues to rise. The price of raw materials for thermal power generation rises, the power consumption increases greatly, and the driving force of electricity price increases.

With continuous high temperature, the power load of various places has reached a new high. Seasonal peak electricity price and demand response electricity price policy have been implemented in many places of China. Anhui, Jiangsu and other places have implemented seasonal peak electricity prices; Industrial power rationing has started all over the country, and Yunnan Province has begun to ask some local metal producers to reduce power consumption for the second time in three months. Some zinc and tin smelters in Yunnan have been informed to reduce their electricity consumption by 25%. Many enterprises in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia and other places have limited production or even stopped production, and domestic power rationing has been upgraded. Electricity rationing upgraded again, resulting in a decline in zinc production.

Overview and future prospects

Bai Jiaxin, an analyst of business news agency, believes that: affected by continuous high temperature weather, electricity prices rise, zinc smelting enterprises’ costs increase, and the driving force of zinc price rise increases. The output of zinc smelting enterprises is expected to decline due to power rationing. Zinc price has a strong driving force. Overall, the upgrading of power rationing stimulates the rise of zinc market, and zinc price is expected to rise slightly in the future.

According to the data monitored by the business agency, the average ex factory tax price of domestic light potassium carbonate at the beginning of the week was 7190.00 yuan / ton, and the average ex factory tax price of domestic light potassium carbonate at the end of the week was 7450.00 yuan / ton, an increase of 3.62%, the current price increased by 10.86% month on month, and the current price increased by 19.92% year-on-year.

Potash is on the rise this week. The potash market is in short supply. Most of them are concentrated in the hands of large traders. They are reluctant to sell. New orders in the market are limited, and some areas are in a state of no market. Potassium carbonate continued to rise. According to the statistics of the business society, the mainstream ex factory quotation range of domestic industrial grade potassium carbonate this week is about 7100-7800 yuan / ton (the quotation is for reference only), and the quotation is different according to the procurement situation.

Recently, the quotation of potassium chloride mainstream manufacturers fluctuated and consolidated: on July 16, the potassium chloride equipment of Qinghai Salt Lake Potash Fertilizer Co., Ltd. operated normally. The ex factory quotation is about 2450 yuan / ton, the quotation is temporarily stable, and the actual transaction price is mainly through negotiation. On July 16, Anhui Badou Chemical Co., Ltd. did not offer potassium chloride for the time being. Recently, the potassium chloride market has maintained a high consolidation, and the imported potassium supply has been replenished, but the inventory is still tight, and it is expected to be high and strong in the later period.

Potassium carbonate analysts of business news agency believe that the domestic potash fertilizer market continues to rise in the near future, and the import potassium sources are mostly concentrated in the hands of traders, and the market circulation is limited. It is expected that the price of potassium carbonate will rise mainly in the short term, and the long-term market still needs to wait and see（ The above prices are provided by the main manufacturers of potassium nitrate all over the country and sorted out and analyzed by the potassium carbonate analysts of the business society. They are for reference only. For more price details, please contact the relevant manufacturers for consultation).

According to the monitoring data of business news agency, since June, the traditional off-season of hydrogen peroxide has come, and the market has been falling continuously until the middle of July, falling below 850 yuan. At the beginning of June, the average market price of hydrogen peroxide was 1013 yuan / ton. On July 16, the average market price of hydrogen peroxide was 846 yuan / ton, down 16.45%.

According to the weekly fluctuation chart of hydrogen peroxide in business community from April 19 to July 11, 2021, it can be seen that the hydrogen peroxide market was weak at the end of April. After the May Day holiday, the hydrogen peroxide terminal was ok, and the hydrogen peroxide manufacturers repaired it. It went up for two weeks in a row, or more than 8%. At the end of the month, due to the weakening of terminal demand, hydrogen peroxide began to decline sharply. Since June, hydrogen peroxide has opened a downward channel, falling for three consecutive weeks, with an overall decline of over 7.5%. At the beginning of July, the decline of hydrogen peroxide Market slowed down, and the market rose. As a whole, it was still in a downward trend. As of July 16, hydrogen peroxide had dropped by more than 4.51%.

On July 16, some domestic hydrogen peroxide manufacturers quoted as follows:

The quoted price of hydrogen peroxide in Luxi Chemical was 740 yuan / ton, down 40 yuan / ton from the beginning of July; Hebei Zhengyuan chemical fertilizer hydrogen peroxide quoted 900 yuan / ton, which was stable compared with the price at the beginning of July; Anhui Quansheng chemical hydrogen peroxide quoted 900 yuan / ton, down 50 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the month.

Flat terminal demand, hydrogen peroxide starts deep drop mode

In June, due to a sharp decline in the purchase volume of the paper industry, hydrogen peroxide entered the off-season of consumption. The price of hydrogen peroxide still kept falling due to negative factors. The manufacturers were not confident in supporting the price, so they reduced the ex factory price one after another. Hydrogen peroxide market continued to fall, down more than 12%.

In July, hydrogen peroxide remained weak and fell. Due to poor terminal demand, some hydrogen peroxide manufacturers shut down for maintenance. The hydrogen peroxide unit of Zhengyuan chemical fertilizer has been shut down for maintenance, and the price is relatively stable. The hydrogen peroxide Market in Shandong and Anhui continued to decline. As of July 16, the mainstream quotation of domestic hydrogen peroxide manufacturers was 850 yuan / ton.

In the middle of July, the price of corrugating base paper continued to decline due to the reduction of raw material and waste paper price, and most of them showed a small fluctuation. Due to the influence of Guangdong’s coal to gas policy, the current supply side is slightly narrowed. In addition, the terminal demand is light, and most of the downstream secondary factories are just in need of replenishment, which makes the market trading atmosphere not strong, the paper market is weak, and the rise of hydrogen peroxide is weak.

Li Bing, hydrogen peroxide analyst of business news agency, thinks: terminal demand is not good, hydrogen peroxide Market is difficult to improve in the short term, or will continue to decline.