1、 Price trend

 

According to the big data list of business associations, the average price of domestic phosphoric acid on October 19 was 4950 yuan / ton, up 1.71% compared with last Monday, 2.06% on a month on month basis, 7.48% lower than the beginning of the year, and 7.76% lower than the same period last year.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

In October, the market of phosphoric acid is stable, and there are not many orders for replenishment after the festival. Recently, driven by the rise of raw material yellow phosphorus, the price of phosphoric acid has followed. Some enterprises have increased 100-150 yuan / ton. Taking Xiangyang Gaolong enterprise as an example, it has increased by 150 yuan to 5000 yuan / ton. Some enterprises have also kept their prices stable and wait for the market. As the yellow phosphorus entered the dry season, the electricity prices in Yunnan and Sichuan were increased, the production costs of yellow phosphorus enterprises increased, and the prices continued to rise, which led to fluctuations in the phosphoric acid market. However, at present, the demand has not been greatly improved, the downstream inquiry is not hot, and the market transaction atmosphere is not warm. Therefore, although there is cost support, the phosphoric acid market is difficult to have a substantial upward space.

 

According to the monitoring of the business agency, as of October 19, the average market price of 85% industrial purified water phosphoric acid was about 4950 yuan / ton, the price of Sichuan Province was 4700-5400 yuan / ton, the price was rising steadily; the price of Yunnan Province was about 4800 yuan / ton, with stable trading; the price of Beijing was about 4700 yuan / ton, the price was temporarily stable; the price of Hubei Province was 4800-5000 yuan / ton About RMB / ton, the price rises; the quotation in Tianjin is about 5500 yuan / ton, which is stable and wait-and-see; the quotation in Jiangsu is about 4550-4600 yuan / ton, rising steadily. Prices have risen steadily in various places.

 

Regional product specification date price (yuan / ton)

Phosphoric acid content in East China: 85% October 19 5260-5280

Phosphoric acid content in Southwest China: 85% October 19 4670-4690

Phosphoric acid content in Central China: 85% October 19 4820-4830

 

The phosphoric acid industry chain rose more than decreased. On October 19, the phosphoric acid industrial chain index was 89.04, up 0.59 points compared with yesterday, 16.20% lower than 106.25 points (2012-03-22), and 14.74% higher than 77.60 points, the lowest point on July 2, 2019. (Note: period refers to 2011-12-01 to now)

 

The overall trend of the yellow phosphorus and inner yellow phosphorus market is upward. The spot sales in the market are basically normal. The price in Yunnan is rising rapidly. The price in Sichuan has also increased. The price in Guizhou is relatively stable. Traders are more cautious in taking goods and mainly purchase on demand in the downstream. In November, the electricity prices in Yunnan and Sichuan increased, and the production costs of yellow phosphorus enterprises increased. At present, the yellow phosphorus enterprises have successively raised their quotations, with the reference price of 16000-16200 yuan / ton..

 

Phosphate rock, into October, after the double festival, domestic phosphate ore began to resume gradually, the field trading stable, heard that some mining enterprises or intend to raise the quotation, new single transaction sporadic high price, the market more wait-and-see. At present, after the high-end quotation of phosphate ore market, the trading is fair, and the procurement is mainly on demand. The reference price is 386.67, which is 2.65% higher than that on October 1 (376.67).

 

Sulfuric acid, in late October, the market of sulfuric acid in Shandong area or a small shock rise. The price of sulfur in the upstream has risen slightly in recent years, and the downstream market has been consolidated at a high level. The demand for sulfuric acid in the downstream is positive, and the product trend is upward under the contradiction between supply and demand. The sulfuric acid analysts of the business agency believe that the short-term Shandong market in the supply and demand and raw materials and other aspects of the impact of sulfuric acid market or a small rise.

 

Downstream ammonium phosphate, at present, raw material prices of Monoammonium are rising, the market trading atmosphere is good, and the transaction center is up. It is expected that monoammonium will rise steadily in the short term. The quotation of diammonium continued to be firm, the domestic market was stable, and the international market demand was good. It is expected that diammonium will continue to rise in the short term.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

The phosphoric acid analysts of chemical branch of business society believe that the price of phosphoric acid has been following up with the rise of raw material yellow phosphorus recently, but the demand has not been greatly improved, the downstream inquiry is not hot, and the market transaction atmosphere is not warm. Therefore, although there is cost support, the phosphoric acid market is difficult to have a substantial upward space. It is expected that the trend will be flat in the short term, and the price will rise locally.

Thiourea

1、 Price trend

 

The comprehensive price of hydrochloric acid in North China rose slightly this week, with the quotation rising from 277.50 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 280.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, up 0.9%. Overall, hydrochloric acid market rose slightly this week, with the hydrochloric acid commodity index of 73.68 on October 16.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

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From the manufacturer’s quotation point of view, this week hydrochloric acid Market manufacturer’s quotation slightly rises, the overall market is general. The quotation of Taiyuan kunshengda hydrochloric acid is 480 yuan / T, which is temporarily stable; Dezhou Shihua hydrochloric acid is 350 yuan / T, which is temporarily stable; Wenshui synthetic hydrochloric acid is 230 yuan / T at weekend, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Jinan Yuanfei hydrochloric acid is quoted at 300 yuan / T at weekend, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Dezhou Meihua hydrochloric acid is quoted at 110 yuan / T at weekend, which is 10 yuan higher than that at the beginning of the week /Tons.

 

From the perspective of the upstream and downstream industrial chain of hydrochloric acid, the upstream liquid chlorine market is general, which gives weak support to hydrochloric acid, while the downstream silica market is general, and the market price of ammonium chloride gradually drops, which has a negative impact on hydrochloric acid. This week, the overall hydrochloric acid market consolidation, hydrochloric acid delivery is still a major problem.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

The recent market of upstream liquid chlorine is general, while the downstream silica and ammonium chloride are mainly purchased on demand. Business agency analysts believe that hydrochloric acid recent low consolidation.

According to the data monitored by the business agency, as of October 16, the comprehensive price of PC market was 16333.33 yuan / ton, and the price of domestic PC market was up, and the negotiation atmosphere was positive. Compared with the same period last week, the price of PC was increased by 6.99% and 12.39% compared with that of the same period last month. The overall trend showed an upward trend, and it is possible to continue to rise.

 

The domestic PC market is relatively strong, with a strong bullish atmosphere and high negotiation focus. Merchants are active in shipping, logistics is smooth, and inventory is not under pressure. Most of them just need to purchase small orders. The overall atmosphere of PC is good, and the rising trend is maintained in the short term. The latest prices of enterprises include Luxi Chemical 16000 yuan / ton, Lihua yiweiyuan 15200 yuan / ton, and Shanghai Kesi 17800 yuan / ton. The shipment is smooth and the supply is good The reference price of the low-end is 16200-18100 yuan / ton, and the reference price of the middle and high-end is 18000-19800 yuan / ton.

 

The upstream market price of bisphenol fluctuated as a whole, the negotiation atmosphere was general, the quotation was stable, and the market transaction was dull.

 

The rubber and plastic index on October 15 was 668 points, up 1 point compared with yesterday, 36.98% lower than 1060 (2012-03-14), and 26.52% higher than the lowest point of 528 on April 06, 2020. (Note: period refers to 2011-12-01 to now)

 

PC analysts believe that: in the short term, the PC market is expected to maintain a strong trend, with prices rising steadily. (the above prices are provided by major PC manufacturers all over the country and analyzed by business PC analysts for reference only. Please contact relevant manufacturers for more price details.)

Thiourea

1、 Price trend

 

Most of the domestic PS factory prices are temporarily stable, business offers are mainly stable, the market trading atmosphere is cold, and most of them are inquiries.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

PS market trend is stable, Zhanjiang Sino US PS ex factory price, 525 yuan / ton. The ex factory price of CITIC Guoan PS is 7950 yuan / T.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

PS market operation is generally stable, downstream buyers demand is not high, in the case of low shipment, adhere to short-term prudent operation. On the other hand, due to some petrochemical factory offers continue to decline, the spot market support is insufficient. It is expected that the PS market will continue to adjust downward.

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According to the data monitoring of the business agency, as of the 14th, the average ex factory price of domestic butanone market was 6433.33 yuan / ton, which was 267 yuan / ton, or 4.32%, compared with the price on October 1. Compared with the price on September 1, the average price was increased by 217 yuan / ton, or 3.49%; the maximum amplitude between September 1 and October 14 was 13.20%.

 

Demand for butanone in September is not optimistic

 

The traditional “Jinjiu” did not bring a substantial upward trend to China’s butanone market. Up in September, affected by the cold demand of downstream, the market showed signs of fatigue, and the digestion of inventory was slow. Factories lowered the ex factory price of butanone one one after another, by 400-500 yuan / ton in half a month. As of the 17th, the average ex factory price of domestic butanone Market was 5700 / T, which was 533 yuan / T, or 8.58% lower than that on September 1. Subsequently, the butanone market remained sluggish, and the price was still at the bottom. Until the end of the month, due to the support of the downstream pre holiday stock and hoarding, the demand increased, the upstream and downstream transmission improved, and the factory looked forward to rising strongly. As of September 30, the average price of domestic butanone market was at 6166 yuan / ton, which was reduced by 50 yuan / ton or 0.80% compared with the price on September 1.

 

After the festival, the market of butanone finally rose

 

In October, a few days after the return of the double festival, the market situation is mainly stable. The purchasing status before the festival is better than expected. The current market inventory is relatively low. It is heard that a 30000 T / a production line of Lanzhou Petrochemical Company has been shut down recently, and the factories and shippers have a strong attitude of supporting prices. Since December 12, most factories began to increase the ex factory price of butanone by 200-300 yuan / ton. As of the 14th, the average ex factory price of domestic butanone market was 6433.33 yuan / ton, which was 267 yuan / ton, or 4.32%, compared with the price on October 1. Compared with the price on September 1, the average price of butanone increased by 217 yuan / ton, or 3.49%; and the maximum amplitude from September 1 to October 14 was 13.20%.

 

On the upstream side, the domestic LPG market in Shandong Province declined in September. In October, the price of LPG civil market rebounded. After the festival, the downstream started the replenishment mode, the enthusiasm of entering the market was good, the manufacturers’ shipment was smooth, and the inventory was mostly at a low level. Since the 9th, the Shandong market of civil gas-liquid chemical gas has risen continuously. As of the 13th, the reference price of liquefied gas was 3126.67 yuan / ton, an average price increase of 350 yuan / ton or 12.61% compared with October 1 (2776.67 yuan / ton). At present, the market is stable on the whole, and some small increases are made. The current mainstream transaction price is maintained at about 3100-3130 yuan / ton, and the market transaction atmosphere is relatively general.

 

Future outlook in the short term, the market is strong

 

The overall market is favorable for any inventory. At present, the on-site inventory is on the low side. The recovery of factory start-up after the festival is lower than expected, and the downstream just needs to purchase. Therefore, it is expected that the manufacturers and traders will be more willing to support the price, and the short-term price is mainly to maintain the stability of the price.

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