1、 Price trend
According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China rose slightly this week. This week, the average ex factory price of mainstream carbide manufacturers increased from 2790.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2806.67 yuan / ton at the end of the week, an increase of 0.60%, up 6.41% year-on-year from the same period last year. Overall, calcium carbide market rose slightly this week, with the calcium carbide commodity index at 73.54 on January 17.
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2、 Trend analysis
（1） Products:
The ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China this week slightly increased: oveganeng’s offer of calcium carbide this weekend is 2750 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Shaanxi coal industry’s offer of calcium carbide this weekend is 2620 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; China United Inner Mongolia’s offer of calcium carbide this week is 2920 yuan / ton, which is 50 yuan / ton higher than the beginning of the week; Ningxia Xingping’s offer of calcium carbide this weekend is 2750 yuan / ton , compared with the beginning of the week, the quotation is temporarily stable.
This weekend, the actual transaction price of carbide in Northwest China is about 2600-2900 yuan / ton: the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Shaanxi is about 2600-2700 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Ningxia is about 2700 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 2900 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.
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（2） Industrial chain:
Upstream raw material Market: the ex factory quotation of Lancan is temporarily stable this week, and the quotation of small materials is 730.00 yuan / ton. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low and consolidated, and the cost support is insufficient, which has a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.
Downstream market: this week PVC factory price high consolidation. The price of PVC is 6825.00 yuan / ton, up 7.06% year on year. PVC market in the lower reaches is in high consolidation. Compared with last year, the price is higher. Customers in the lower reaches are more active in purchasing calcium carbide. As a whole, PVC market this week has a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.
3、 Future forecast
After the adjustment in December, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low, and the cost support is not enough, but the PVC market in the downstream is good, and customers in the downstream are more active in purchasing calcium carbide. The aftermarket forecasts that the price of calcium carbide in the northwest may rise in shock in late January.
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