1、 Price trend
According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell slightly this week. This week, the average ex factory price of mainstream carbide manufacturers fell from 2890.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2873.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 0.58%, up 4.87% year on year. On the whole, carbide market fell slightly this week, with the carbide commodity index at 75.28 on February 28.
2、 Trend analysis
（1） Products:
| Thiourea dioxide |
The ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell slightly this week: oveganone’s quotation for calcium carbide this weekend was 2850 yuan / ton, down 50 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the week; Shaanxi coal industry’s quotation for calcium carbide this weekend was 2750 yuan / ton, temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; China United Inner Mongolia’s quotation for calcium carbide this week was 2820 yuan / ton, temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; Xingping Ningxia’s quotation for calcium carbide this weekend was 2950 yuan / ton , compared with the beginning of the week, the quotation is temporarily stable.
This weekend, the actual transaction price of carbide in Northwest China is about 2700-3000 yuan / ton: the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Shaanxi is about 2700-2800 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Ningxia is about 2950 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 2800 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.
（2） Industrial chain:
Upstream raw material Market: this week, the ex factory quotation of Lancan is temporarily stable, the quotation of small materials is 730.00 yuan / ton, the quotation of medium materials is 820 yuan / ton, and the quotation of large materials is 880 yuan / ton. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low and consolidated, and the cost support is insufficient, which has a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.
| Thiourea |
Downstream market: PVC factory price fell slightly this week. PVC price dropped from 6587.50 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 6337.50 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 3.80%, up 0.60% year on year. This week, the price of PVC in the downstream fell, but compared with last year, the price is higher, and the downstream PVC plant is gradually starting, which has a high enthusiasm for calcium carbide procurement. As a whole, PVC market this week has a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.
3、 Future forecast
In the first ten days of March, the market of calcium carbide fluctuated slightly. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low, and the cost support is not enough. However, the transportation situation tends to be normal gradually. The downstream PVC plant starts gradually, and the downstream customers are more active in purchasing calcium carbide. In the early March, the price of calcium carbide in the northwest may rise in shock.
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