1、 Price trend
According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the average ex factory price of the mainstream manufacturers on April 5 was 22500 yuan / ton, compared with 22833.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week (30 days), down 1.46% in the week. On April 5, the R134a commodity index was 82.32, flat with yesterday, down 17.68% from the highest point in the cycle of 100.00 (2019-09-02), and up 1.50% from the lowest point of 81.10 on March 4, 2020. (Note: cycle refers to 2019-09-01 till now)
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2、 Market analysis
Product: Refrigerant Market R134a fell slightly this week. The market of hydrofluoric acid at the raw material end is poor, the supporting force for refrigerant R134a is weakened, and the demand for terminal industry is general. Affected by foreign public health events, the export is reduced, and the demand for automobile refrigerant is acceptable. At present, the refrigerant R134a manufacturer has started at a high level, the new production capacity has not been fully put into operation, and the supply in R134a field is tight, but the supply and demand are weak, and the price slightly drops. According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of April 5, the market price of refrigerant R134a was concentrated around 21000 yuan / ton – 25000 yuan / ton.
Industry chain: in recent years, the price trend of fluorite in China has declined, and the market price of hydrofluoric acid has declined. On April 3, the mainstream price of anhydrous hydrofluoric acid manufacturers in China was 9500-10500 yuan / ton. The factory price of some manufacturers in the field fell. The operation rate of domestic hydrofluoric acid manufacturers was average, the supply of goods in the field was sufficient, and the market price in the field fell slightly.
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Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in the 13th week of 2020 (3.30-4.3), there are 9 kinds of commodities in the rise and fall list of bulk commodity prices in the chemical industry sector, including 1 kind of commodity with an increase of more than 5%, accounting for 1.1% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three commodities are isopropanol (13.17%), propane (4.22%) and dichloromethane (4.00%). There are 52 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, with 28 kinds of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 32.2% of the number of commodities monitored in this sector; the top three products falling are crude benzene (- 26.92%), butadiene (- 17.90%) and bisphenol A (- 16.17%). This week’s average was – 3.62%.
3、 Future forecast
According to the refrigerant analyst of the business club, the cost side of refrigerant R134a is currently down, and the demand is average. It is expected that the refrigerant R134a market will operate weakly and stably in the short term.
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