1、 Price trend
According to the monitoring data of the business community, the price of caustic soda was mainly weak. The average price of Shandong market was about 490 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and 457.5 yuan / ton at the end of the month, with a price drop of 6.63% and 6.15% compared with the same period last year. On May 6, the commodity index of caustic soda was 65.83, which was the same as yesterday, decreased by 68.18% compared with 206.87 (2017-11-14), the highest point in the cycle, and increased by 1.11% compared with 65.11, the lowest point on October 9, 2020（ Note: period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now
2、 Market analysis
In April, the price of caustic soda was weak as a whole. The price of caustic soda in Shandong is weak, and the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 390-490 yuan / ton. The company’s shipment is tepid, the downstream receiving situation is light and stable, and the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. It is expected that caustic soda will continue to operate with small fluctuation in the future. In Hebei area, the market of caustic soda fluctuates mainly in a narrow range. At present, the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 460-590 yuan / ton. The company’s shipment is general, and the downstream receiving situation is light and stable, with a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. It is expected that caustic soda will continue to operate with small fluctuation in the future.
Upstream: the price of domestic liquid chlorine market is down this month, the market trend is weak, and the wait-and-see mentality is strong. Downstream: from the downstream of caustic soda to the end of demand, aluminum, paper and other industries adhere to demand-based procurement, wait-and-see attitude is still strong. The price of caustic soda lacks strong support, and the price of caustic soda is weak.
According to the price monitoring of the business community, in April 2021, there were 2 kinds of commodities rising, 2 kinds of commodities falling, and 1 kind of commodities with zero rise and fall in the price list of chlor alkali industry. The main commodities rising were calcium carbide (8.33%) and PVC (3.17%); The main commodities falling were hydrochloric acid (- 6.85%) and caustic soda (- 6.63%). The average rise and fall this month was – 0.4%.
Business analysts believe that recently, the price of upstream liquid chlorine has declined, and now the shipment of caustic soda enterprises is tepid, and the situation of downstream reception is weak and stable, and there is a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. The actual transaction atmosphere is light, and it is expected that caustic soda will still fluctuate slightly in the future, depending on the downstream market demand.
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