According to the data monitoring of the business community, the polyacrylamide commodity index on October 24 was 94.36, unchanged from yesterday, 15.38% lower than the highest point of the cycle, 111.51 (2021-11-03), and 13.84% higher than the lowest point, 82.89, on August 2, 2020. (Note: Period refers to April 1, 2019 to now)
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Commodity market: According to the data monitoring of the business community, the mainstream market of polyacrylamide (CPAM, cationic, molecular weight 12 million, 10-30 ionic degree) in China has been basically stable since the second half of October, mainly reporting about 15442.86 yuan/ton. At present, water treatment manufacturers in Gongyi, Henan, have stopped production since the 10th due to environmental protection policy requirements, and the industry is expected to resume production this month; At the same time, many places have been in a state of silence due to public health events recently. The cost of raw materials continues to rise, the downstream demand is general, the spot inventory is sufficient, and the overall market of polyacrylamide is temporarily stable.
Raw material acrylonitrile: according to the data of the business community, the price of acrylonitrile rose sharply that week (10.17-10.24). As of October 24, the bulk water price in the acrylonitrile market was 10820 yuan/ton, up 5.56% from 10250 yuan/ton on October 17. At present, the price of acrylonitrile apron in China is between 10700-11200 yuan/ton, and it is difficult to find low price goods in the market. Traders are reluctant to sell. It is expected that the acrylonitrile market will remain high in the future.
Raw acrylic acid: according to the data of the business society, the domestic market of acrylic acid has declined since October 17, and the quotation in East China has declined from 8433.33 yuan/ton to 8200 yuan/ton on October 24, a decrease of 2.77%. At present, the cost support is limited, the market transaction is just in demand, and the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. It is expected that the acrylic market will be dominated by deadlock in the short term, and more attention should be paid to the market news guidance.
LNG for production. According to the data of the business community, the market price of LNG has fluctuated slightly since October 17, up and down: the average market price was 6342 yuan/ton on October 17, up to 6356 yuan/ton on October 22, and down to 6330 yuan/ton on October 24. During the week, the domestic LNG market was in shock and consolidation operation, and the price rose and fell with each other. At present, the market demand is general, and the market trading is weak. With the improvement of transportation and heating in winter, the industry is in a strong bullish mood. It is expected that the market of LNG will continue to consolidate in the short term.
Future forecast: On the whole, the water treatment market this year is not as good as that of the same period in 2021. Public health events have had multiple impacts since this month. Although some raw materials have risen moderately, there are also raw materials that have fluctuated and declined, and the cost has risen and fallen in different ways. The demand is low and the spot inventory is still sufficient. The future market is still dominated by stability, supplemented by small adjustments.
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