According to the data monitoring of the business community, as of October 25, the reference average price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in mainstream areas in China was around 1054 yuan/ton, which was 10 yuan/ton lower than that on October 1 (1064 yuan/ton), a decrease of 0.91%.
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It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of the business community that since October (10.1-10.24), the domestic phosphorus ore market has declined slightly as a whole. After the National Day holiday, the trading atmosphere in the phosphate rock yard was quiet, and the weak market situation of the terminal phosphate fertilizer market gave ordinary support to the phosphate rock. Most of the support in the phosphate rock yard came from the continuous tension of the supply side, and the offer of the operators was multi-dimensional and stable. Some mining enterprises in Sichuan reduced the price of the phosphate rock market slightly, with a reduction rate of about 10 yuan/ton.
In the late October, the phosphorus ore market was operating steadily and slightly. Some mining enterprises in Yunnan Province reduced the price of phosphorus ore by 10-20 yuan/ton in response to new orders. Near the end of the month, some mines were shut down, and the supply and demand of the site was relatively calm.
On October 25, the market price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in China was around 1030-1080 yuan/ton. The market price of 28% grade phosphate ore is around 980 yuan/ton, and the market price of 32% grade phosphate ore is around 1160-1260 yuan/ton. There is also a gap between the price and the original ore specification, powder to lump ratio and other factors, and the details need to be negotiated.
In terms of downstream yellow phosphorus, the recent (10.14-10.24) yellow phosphorus market is relatively light, and the enthusiasm for picking up goods in the downstream is not high. In addition, transportation in some regions is limited. Most yellow phosphorus enterprises offer firm prices, and now they mainly issue early orders. Most yellow phosphorus manufacturers do not offer external prices for the time being, but only discuss them. Up to now, the mainstream quotation of Yunnan yellow phosphorus is about 37000 yuan/ton; The mainstream quotation of Sichuan yellow phosphorus is about 37000 yuan/ton; The mainstream quotation of Guizhou yellow phosphorus is about 37000 yuan/ton. The manufacturer’s quotation is basically unchanged.
Forecast and analysis of phosphate rock future market trend
At present, the downstream demand for phosphate rock is generally weak, the demand side support is general, and the supply side supports the mentality of the industry. The phosphate rock data engineer of the business community believes that in the short term, the domestic phosphate rock market will mainly operate stably and comprehensively, and the specific trend needs to pay more attention to the specific changes in the consumption of the supply and demand side.
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