Last week (July 21-27, 2025), the market for the main raw material of viscose staple fiber, dissolved pulp, remained stable, with average cost support. The inventory levels of various viscose staple fiber manufacturers have declined compared to the previous period, but the supply side performance is still acceptable. Downstream enterprises mainly consume raw material inventory and replenish it on demand. The viscose staple fiber market is weak and stable.
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of July 27th, the average market price of viscose staple fiber was 12940 yuan/ton, with a weak and stable price.
In terms of cost: Last week (July 21-27, 2025), there was little change in the market price of raw material dissolving pulp, with a weak stalemate. As of now, the price of domestically produced dissolving pulp is around 6700 yuan/ton, the price of outer broad-leaved pulp is around 800 US dollars/ton, and the price of coniferous pulp is around 870 US dollars/ton. The market prices of auxiliary materials such as liquid alkali and sulfuric acid remain stable but fluctuate slightly, with average cost support.
Abundant supply
The industry supply has declined, and the current daily operating rate in the market remains at around 75%. The inventory levels of various adhesive short fiber manufacturers have declined compared to the previous period, and downstream yarn companies are picking up goods as needed. The overall inventory level of the adhesive short fiber market has decreased, but the market supply is still abundant, and the support from the supply side is limited.
Downstream essential replenishment
The operating rate of downstream cotton yarn market equipment has slightly increased, and price fluctuations are not significant. As of now, the price of ring spun R30S in Jiangsu region is around 17100 yuan/ton, and the price of ring spun R40S is around 18300 yuan/ton. The market is in a traditional off-season of demand, and downstream cotton yarn market transactions are not ideal. Only a few models of vortex spun cotton yarn have slightly better export orders. Cotton mills mainly consume raw material inventory and replenish urgently needed goods, with no significant improvement in demand.
Future forecast
On the raw material side, the main material dissolution slurry market and the auxiliary material sulfuric acid market are generally stable, while the liquid alkali market may experience a narrow decline. Therefore, it is expected that the market price trend of adhesive short fiber raw materials will decline in the short term, and the cost support will be insufficient.
Supply and demand side: The operating rate of the adhesive short fiber market equipment may not fluctuate significantly, and some manufacturers have high inventory levels. Therefore, it is expected that the supply side support of the adhesive short fiber market will be poor in the short term; The terminal market is still in the traditional off-season of demand, with limited new orders placed. Downstream yarn mills are experiencing a certain degree of risk aversion and may maintain their demand for signing orders. It is expected that the driving force of the adhesive short fiber market from the demand side will be moderate in the short term.
Overall, the main raw material dissolution slurry market may be weak and stagnant, with sufficient overall supply. Downstream yarn mills mainly sign orders according to demand. Under the interweaving of on-site news, adhesive short fiber manufacturers may maintain their previous quotations. Therefore, analysts from Shengyi Society predict that the domestic adhesive short fiber market will remain stable with small movements in the short term, and the price is expected to be accepted at 12800-13000 yuan/ton.
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