July 30, domestic rare earth market price trend temporarily stabilized

On July 29, the rare earth index was 350 points, which was the same as yesterday. It was 65.00% lower than the highest point in the cycle (2011-12-06), which was 29.15% higher than the lowest point of 271 points on September 13, 2015. (Note: Cycle refers to 2011-12-01 to date)

The average price of metal lanthanum in rare earth metals is 41,250 yuan / ton; the average price of metal bismuth is 1.625 million yuan / ton; the average price of metal bismuth is 660,000 yuan / ton. The average price of niobium oxide in rare earth oxides is 327,500 yuan/ton; the average price of antimony oxide is 1.155 million yuan/ton; the average price of antimony oxide is 410,000 yuan/ton; the average price of antimony oxide is 320,000 yuan/ton. The average price of niobium alloy in rare earth alloy is 420,000 yuan/ton; the average price of niobium iron alloy is 1.17 million yuan/ton.

Recently, the domestic rare earth price trend is stable, most rare earth separation enterprises stop production, resulting in a decline in supply, especially some mainstream rare earth oxides, supply performance is tight, but the downstream receiving is not active, just as the rare earth industry sales off-season, domestic rare earth products prices fluctuate at low levels. Recently, the number of buyers has been reduced accordingly, and the transaction volume is very limited. The major manufacturers of products are also cautiously waiting to see each other. The mutual inquiry has become more frequent. The downstream receiving goods are not actively leading to the low price of some rare earth products. The division expects some products in the rare earth market to go down.

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Increased concentration of Brazilian agrochemical markets to limit competitors’ growth

The concentration of Brazil’s agrochemical market in large transnational corporations is getting higher and higher. This will be worse than the “oligopoly”. Recently, Tulio Teixeira de Oliveira, executive president and agronomist of Brazilian Association of Nonproprietary Pesticides, made the above comment.

He said, “When the market is monopolized by a few competitors, we call this phenomenon an oligopoly. This monopoly has intensified, further limiting the room for growth of other competitors. This is one of the largest agrochemical markets in the world. What is going on in Brazil.”

From 2015 to 2017, the market value of the Brazilian agrochemical industry has been maintained at around US$9 billion, which also indicates that Brazil accounts for about 15% of the global market. Oliveira said, “In the past three years, the top nine companies in the market have owned 70% of Brazil’s agrochemical market share. This is already a considerable number, and it is likely to increase further.”

According to Oliveira, the market concentration will be greater next year because the number of companies with the largest market share will be reduced from 9 to 5. Dow and DuPont have already merged. Now Bayer will acquire Monsanto again. Syngenta and Andorma are independent, but they still represent China National Chemical Corporation. Companies with 70% market share will further focus on Bayer, Syngenta/Andorma, Corteva (Dow/DuPont), BASF, and Fumeishi.

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Quantitative analysis of main demand structure of sulphur in 2017 and sulphur prediction for phosphate fertilizer in 2018

As 2017 draws to a close, this week’s sulphur perspective reviews the main downstream demand levels for sulphur in 2017.

 

2017 1-November sulphur imports 10.31 million tons, domestic sulphur production 5.27 million tons, the 2017 annual port net stock is 210,000 tons (the port flow inventory at the beginning of 2017 to reduce the bottom of November 2017 flow inventory), so 2017 years of sulphur apparent demand in 15.79 million tons.

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Downstream market demand for 2018 we will focus on the phosphate fertilizer forecast as follows:

 

Phosphate fertilizer domestic demand in 2017 will not show a significant change in phosphate fertilizer exports this piece, because India’s phosphate fertilizer stock below 500,000 tons, 2018 is phosphate or will become China’s export year. But considering that the 2018 Saudi mining company’s “Waad Al shammal Phosphate Project” 3 million tons of phosphate production capacity will be further released, North Africa, Morocco OCP phosphate fertilizer production will be gradually put into place. The export of phosphate fertilizer to China will be a shock. But the pattern of the export year will not be reversed. Ternary compound fertilizer export policy positive from the price of 20% to 100 yuan/ton will also be to a certain extent, the demand for sulfur. And the supply side structure reform and environmental protection superimposed inventory will still be reflected in the first half of 2018. But the second half of 2018-2019 or will enter replenishment inventory and a new round of capacity stacking cycle. From this level we judge that the ratio of phosphate to sulphur acid will increase further, which is expected to rise from 2017 83.1% to 2018 85%. And the yield of phosphate is expected to increase at least 1 million tons to 19 million tonnes (estimated 18 million tons of pure phosphate fertilizer production in 2018). A net increase in the demand for sulphur in the phosphate fertilizer industry will reach 750,000 tonnes.

http://www.pivalicacid.com

Offshore oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico in 2017 is expected to hit a record high

Offshore oil and gas production in the US Gulf Coast is expected to hit a record high during the year, though local energy companies have cut spending and reduced exploration activity.

Wood Mackenzie’s report released last week showed that off-shore crude oil production in the Gulf of Mexico is expected to rise to 1.9 million barrels / day during the year, a 13% increase over last year and a 10% increase from the peak hit in 2009. It is noteworthy that local energy companies have cut spending and reduced exploration activities.

William Turner, a senior research analyst at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Even offshore offshore oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico has undergone tremendous pressure over the past three years but has now regained its competitiveness.”

On the other hand, Wood Mackenzie expects global crude exploration spending to fall 7% to $ 37bn this year, meaning it will slide about 60% from its peak in 2014 when U.S. crude oil prices were above $ 100 a barrel.

According to data from energy research firm Rystad Energy, the total amount of oil and gas resources discovered by global energy companies last year has been less than that of any one since the 1940s. In 2017, a total of about 7 billion barrels of new oil and gas resources were discovered. In 2012, up to about 30 billion barrels.

Sonia Mlada Passos, a senior analyst with the company, said: “We should note that the newly discovered decrease in oil and gas resources implies that the supply side will face severe challenges in the next 10 years.”

Thiourea

2017 Global original aluminum production is expected to reach 60 million tons

According to the International Original Aluminum Association (IAI) statistics, November 2017 the world’s original aluminum production of 4.714 million tons, the chain October 4.978 million tons reduced by 5.3%, 2016 reduction of 11%.

 

2017 1 ~ November Global original aluminum Monthly production of 5.052 million tons, according to this calculation, the annual production of aluminum is expected to reach 60.627 million tons.

 

August 2017, the world’s original aluminum production of 5.017 million tons, for the first time in history, a single monthly output breakthrough 5 million tons, thereafter from August 2016 to January 2017, 6 consecutive months, March 2017 to August, 6 consecutive months to maintain a monthly average of 5 million tons.

 

2017 1 ~ November Global total aluminum production of 55.575 million tons, 2016 years of 54.216 million tons increased by 2.5%. China accounts for more than 53.2% of the world’s 55.575 million tonnes of total production, 29.541 million tonnes, and 33.134 million tonnes in Asia, accounting for 59.6% of the global total. In addition, China as the world’s largest original aluminum producer, November 2017 output of 2.35 million tons, the chain reduction of 7.7%, year-on-year reduction of 18.7%.

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