The rise of aluminum fluoride market remains the same

According to the data of business agency, the price of aluminum fluoride rose this week, and the aluminum fluoride market rose strongly. As of September 2, the domestic price of aluminum fluoride was 8966.67 yuan / ton, up 1.13% from the price of 8866.67 yuan / ton last week (August 26); Compared with August 1 at the beginning of the month, the price of aluminum fluoride was 8500.00 yuan / ton, an increase of 5.49%. Aluminum fluoride market is strong.

Aluminum ingot prices rose during the week

According to the monitoring of business society, the aluminum commodity index was 118.80 on August 31, up 1.17 points from yesterday, hitting a record high in the cycle (Note: the cycle refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now). Aluminum prices rose sharply this week, and the aluminum market still rose. After hitting a record high on August 31, the price of aluminum ingots fell slightly on September 1, and then the aluminum price rebounded rapidly. The overall aluminum market rose, and the rising power of aluminum fluoride price remained.

The raw material market rose sharply

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of fluorite soared by 1.5% and the price of hydrofluoric acid soared by 6.2% this week. The market price of raw materials rose sharply, which was more favorable to the aluminum fluoride Market and increased the driving force for the rise of aluminum fluoride.

Market overview and forecast

Analysts of aluminum fluoride industry of business agency believe that the price of hydrofluoric acid, the raw material of aluminum fluoride, has soared this week, and the price of upstream fluorite has also risen sharply. The rise of raw material price has increased the cost of aluminum fluoride and stimulated the rise of aluminum fluoride price; The downstream aluminum ingot Market remains high, providing enough room for the rise of aluminum fluoride. It is expected that the price of aluminum fluoride will rise sharply in the future.

1、 Trend analysis

According to the nickel price monitoring of business society, on the 1st, the spot price of nickel was 150133.33 yuan / ton, down 0.45% from the previous day, up 23.18% year-on-year and 17.17% from the beginning of the year. Nickel prices rebounded slightly today after rising sharply yesterday. Nickel warehouse receipts in the previous period rose 1220 tons to 3735 tons today. LME nickel inventories fell 2010 tons to 192456 tons. Nickel price fundamentals changed little as a whole. In terms of nickel ore, the price of nickel ore at home and abroad continues to operate at a high level, and the nickel inventory warehouse receipt is at a low level as a whole. Macroscopically, loose monetary policy continued. Nickel prices are expected to remain high and volatile in the short term.

According to the data of business agency, the average early trading price of silver market on August 31 was 5097.67 yuan / kg, a decrease of 4.35% compared with the average early trading price of spot market in early August (August 1); Compared with the beginning of the year (01.01), the spot price of silver was 5550 yuan / kg, a decrease of 8.15%.

On August 31, the spot market price of gold was 377.71 yuan / g, a decrease of 0.65% compared with the early average price of 380.20 yuan / g in the spot market price in early August (8.1); Compared with the spot price of gold at the beginning of the year (01.01), 392.70 yuan / g, down 3.82%.

In August, the overall price of precious metals decreased first and then increased. After the overall tone of Jackson Hole meeting on Friday was biased, the price of precious metals improved.

Message side factor

American policy

On the 27th, US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that QE will be reduced during the year, but stressed that it is still far from raising interest rates. The market interpreted it as doves, and the US bond yield fell, supporting the price of precious metals.

Future forecast

In the short term, precious metals have rebounded from the bottom recently, and the recent favorable factors have increased. The market’s expectation of precious metal prices has improved slightly, and the shock is expected to be strong. Recently, we will focus on the August non-agricultural data released on Friday, which may affect the contents of FOMC meeting in September.

In the medium term, the upward space of precious metal prices narrowed, mainly due to the current high inflation pressure in the United States, the core PCE remained at a high level of 3.6% year-on-year in July, and the employment data showed a steady recovery of the employment market. If non farm performance is strong in August and September, it is expected that precious metal prices will always be suppressed before the announcement of the Federal Reserve’s QE reduction plan within the year.

According to the bulk list data of business society, the TDI market price continued to decline this week. On August 27, the average market price in East China was 14500 yuan / ton, down 3.81% from 15075 yuan / ton on August 21.

The TDI market was weak and downward this week. At the beginning of the week, the overall market was mainly wait-and-see. The enthusiasm of the cargo holders was not high. Waiting for the release of the factory news, the atmosphere in the venue was quiet. The downstream side just needed to follow up. The acceptance of high price TDI was not high, the market market was weak and downward. There were few factory news in the later stage, the market performance was weak, the overall trading continued to be light, the focus of negotiation shifted downward, and the TDI quotation was reduced, As of the 27th, domestic goods in the mainstream market in East China had been delivered with tickets for about 13800-14000 yuan / ton, and individual low price transactions were around 13600 yuan / ton; For the ex warehouse of Shanghai goods with tickets, the reference is 14200-14300 yuan / ton, mainly based on actual order negotiation. The dealer’s quotation is adjusted with the market news, and the market is weak during the week.

The price of toluene continued to decline this week. On the 27th, the average domestic price of toluene was 5661 yuan / ton, down 1.24% from 5732 yuan / ton on August 21. The business transaction was poor and the atmosphere was cold. During the week, crude oil rebounded strongly and the price of toluene increased slightly, but the overall driving force was limited, the demand weakened again, the toluene market mentality was bearish, the price continued to decline, and the toluene market was weak in the later stage.

According to the analysis of TDI data division of business society, the domestic TDI market is weak, the downstream purchase follow-up is not smooth, the market entry enthusiasm is general, and there are a few transactions on the floor. It is expected that the TDI market will be weak in the later stage, and the future trend will pay attention to the information guidance of the supplier.

1、 Price trend

According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average factory price of domestic ammonium sulfate was 1145 yuan / ton on August 23 and 1142 yuan / ton on August 29. The price of ammonium sulfate fell by 0.22% this week.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the domestic demand of ammonium sulfate Market is weak and the trading is general. Coking grade was adjusted in a narrow range, with ups and downs. The domestic ammonium sulfate Market is stable, the foreign demand is poor, and the downstream just needs to get the goods. As of the weekend, the mainstream factory quotation of ammonium sulfate in Shandong was 1100-1200 yuan / ton, that in Hebei was 1050-1100 yuan / ton, and that in Shanxi was 1000-1050 yuan / ton.

This week, the price of raw urea for compound fertilizer continued to decline, and the downstream mentality was poor. The market of compound fertilizer fell slightly, and dealers traded cautiously with limited turnover. In the short term, the compound fertilizer market is mainly stable and down.

3、 Future forecast

The ammonium sulfate analyst of business society believes that due to the weak domestic demand for ammonium sulfate and the tight internal supply under the environmental protection policy, the downstream demand has not improved. As there is no good news at present, the downstream mostly takes a wait-and-see attitude. The price of ammonium sulfate is expected to fluctuate in a narrow range in the short term