According to the monitoring data of business news agency, hydrogen peroxide had a rising trend in the first half of June, and continued to plunge into the market in the second half of June, with the price falling all the way. As of June 25, the average market price of hydrogen peroxide was 953 yuan / ton, down 5.92% from the beginning of the month.

According to the weekly rise and fall chart of hydrogen peroxide from March 29 to June 20, 2021, it can be seen that hydrogen peroxide rose sharply at the beginning of March, with an increase of more than 5%. After the surge, hydrogen peroxide began to plunge, continuing the weak market. In April, in the middle of the month, hydrogen peroxide rose again, with an increase of more than 5%. After the May Day holiday, hydrogen peroxide was in a weak position and started a rising mode in the middle of the month. It rose to May 22, with an increase of more than 10%. At the end of the month, the hydrogen peroxide market began to plunge, falling by more than 7%. In June, hydrogen peroxide continued to decline, with a decline of nearly 6% as of June 25.

On June 25, some domestic hydrogen peroxide manufacturers quoted as follows:

Luxi Chemical quoted 840 yuan / ton of hydrogen peroxide, down 40 yuan / ton from the beginning of June; Hebei Zhengyuan chemical fertilizer hydrogen peroxide quoted 920 yuan / ton, 80 yuan / ton lower than that in early June; Anhui Quansheng chemical hydrogen peroxide quoted 1100 yuan / ton, down 100 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the month.

Off season is very light, hydrogen peroxide continues to fall

In June, the weak market of hydrogen peroxide did not end. Due to the sharp decline of paper purchasing volume, low consumption season and negative factors, the price of hydrogen peroxide still kept falling, and the manufacturers lacked confidence in supporting the price, so they reduced the ex factory price one after another. Among them, the ex factory price of hydrogen peroxide in Luxi Chemical industry has dropped to 840 yuan; Zhengyuan fertilizer also fell to 900 yuan. Anhui Quansheng price also fell to 1100 yuan / ton line. Hydrogen peroxide started diving mode, the market continued to bottom, down 5.92%.

On June 25, the commodity price index of hydrogen peroxide and caprolactam was 100.88, down 0.3 points from yesterday, down 53.96% from 219.12 points (2020-10-27), the highest point in the cycle, and up 12.28% from 89.85 points, the lowest point on January 29, 2019（ Note: period refers to the period from January 1, 2019 to now

At the beginning of June, caprolactam continued to decline, with a decline of more than 1.4%. After the Dragon Boat Festival, caprolactam market continued to be stable, and the price rose slightly near the end of the month. Due to the general shipment of manufacturers, the enthusiasm for purchasing hydrogen peroxide declined, and the demand for hydrogen peroxide was poor, so the price continued to decline.

On June 25, the commodity price index of hydrogen peroxide and corrugated paper was 131.32, which was the same as yesterday. It was 46.62% lower than the highest point 246.00 (October 21, 2019) in the cycle, and 22.11% higher than the lowest point 107.54 on January 29, 2019（ Note: period refers to the period from January 1, 2017 to now

In June, due to the limitation of environmental protection policy, the paper mills started down, the rain weather affected, and the transportation cost increased. The paper mills raised the ex factory price of corrugated paper one after another. The corrugated paper market rose all the way and continued to run at a high level, but the amount of hydrogen peroxide purchased declined. The hydrogen peroxide market rose slowly and continued to decline.

Li Bing, hydrogen peroxide analyst of business news agency, said: it is difficult for the terminal demand of hydrogen peroxide to improve significantly in July, and it is expected that the hydrogen peroxide market will still be weak in the future, with weak rise.

After the festival, bisphenol a changed its previous trend and entered the decline mode, with a decline of 7.87% for two consecutive weeks. According to the monitoring of the business community, the average offer of bisphenol A was 22620 yuan / ton on June 15, and it was 20800-20900 yuan / ton as of June 24, with a decline of nearly 2000 yuan / ton in eight working days after the festival. On Wednesday, the bidding price of a factory’s sub brand reached 20800 yuan / ton. I heard that there were few participating enterprises and the market demand was weird. Under the pressure of the goods holder, the offer continued to fall. Nevertheless, under the mentality of buying up but not buying down, the purchase demand was even less, and the market empty offer gradually declined. Recently, the operation of the factory has not changed much, and the market consolidation is stable around 80%.

From the perspective of raw material side, the phenol market was stable this week, and the market negotiation was in a stalemate. The negotiation reached 9050 yuan / ton. The overall change after the festival was not big. The port inventory was relatively stable, and the pressure on the supply side was not big. However, the downstream delivery was low. The carrier expected that it would be difficult to push up the market, the overall atmosphere was not warm, and it was difficult to put in large quantities. On the other hand, the market of acetone, a raw material, has declined significantly. It can be said that the market of acetone has stepped into an accelerated downward trend since May. The offer of East China market was 8150 yuan / ton on May 1, and 4800 yuan / ton on June 24, with a decrease of 41%. The main reasons are that the manufacturer’s inventory is high, the port has a large supply source, the supply side is under great pressure, and the terminal enterprises have limited replenishment and insufficient active inquiry, The real order is limited. The operating rate of phenol and ketone industry has been maintained at a high level, with an average of about 90%.

Acetone market trend in East China

Trend of phenol Market in China

The downstream liquid epoxy resin continued to be in the doldrums. In recent years, the downward trend was obvious following the trend of raw materials. The East China liquid epoxy resin negotiation dropped to 26000-27000 yuan / ton, and the solid epoxy resin negotiation reached 25000 yuan / ton. The decline of epoxy resin market was mainly affected by the overall decline of dual raw materials. The decline of bisphenol A was obvious, the cost support was unfavorable, and the manufacturers were under great pressure to ship, On the other hand, the downstream is not optimistic about the future, the mentality of the yard is under pressure, the factories are generally short of orders, and the boilers in the park are recovering. The short-term epoxy resin industry is difficult to say good, the market transaction surface is insufficient.

According to the business community, it is mainly constrained by the sluggish terminal demand market. The bearish attitude of the cargo holders is serious. The short-term bisphenol a market is still showing a downward trend. It is expected that the downstream of the industrial chain will also show a downward trend in the short term. The overall order of the epoxy resin industry is insufficient, and the market transaction is not optimistic. The PC end factory mainly digests the contract, and the market transaction is hard to say good. The Business Association expects the market of bisphenol A to continue its downward trend in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to business agency monitoring data, the price of chlorinated paraffin increased this week. On June 14, the average price of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 was 6033 yuan / ton, and that of domestic paraffin 52 was 6033 yuan / ton on June 20. The price of this week was stable.

2、 Market analysis

This week, the price of chlorinated paraffin 52 in China was stable. Currently, the factory price of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Anhui Province is 6000-6400 yuan / ton, that of Northeast China is 5700 yuan / ton, that of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Hebei Province is 5000-5900 yuan / ton, that of Shaanxi is about 6400 yuan / ton, and that of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong Province is 5800-6400 yuan / ton.

In terms of raw liquid wax, the price of liquid wax is stable this week, and the source of goods is relatively small. The liquid wax will be stable in short term. In terms of raw liquid chlorine, the price of liquid chlorine this week was stable and down, while that of Shandong Province fell, while that in other regions was stable.

3、 Post market forecast

Business agency chlorinated paraffin analysts believe. The price of raw materials in some parts of chlorinated paraffin fell this week, with limited cost side support. The enterprise has not much stock and the source of goods is tight. There is no good news at present, and the price is in the consolidation stage. It is expected that the price of chlorinated paraffin will be stable and moderate in the short term.

According to the monitoring of business agency, the domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid price has declined slightly this week. As of the end of the week, the market price of hydrofluoric acid was 10000 yuan / ton, down 0.2% compared with the price of 10020 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, up 13.64% year on year.

Domestic hydrofluoric acid prices have been slightly lower this week. Up to now, the mainstream price of domestic hydrofluoric acid has maintained 9400-9700 yuan / ton. Some manufacturers offer higher than the market price. The actual market transaction is weak, domestic hydrofluoric acid price is stable mainly, and domestic HFA spot supply is supported in the near future, and the price trend in the field has been slightly lower.

Domestic HFA is well supplied in spot, some hydrofluoric acid units in the site are stable in operation, and the upstream raw material price of hydrofluoric acid has not changed much. Up to now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation in South China is 9400-9600 yuan / ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the north market is 9400-9700 yuan / ton. In recent years, the domestic market price trend of hydrofluoric acid is stable, and the manufacturers reflect that the goods are not good in the near future, but the price of hydrofluoric acid market still has downward pressure in the later period.

The market price of fluorite raw materials of hydrofluoric acid has risen slightly. By the end of the week, the domestic fluorite price is 2627.78 yuan / ton. The price trend of this week has slightly increased. In recent years, the domestic fluorite spot supply is normal. However, with the increase of temperature, some manufacturers in the north gradually start up their devices. However, the environmental protection supervision is strict in recent years. Some affected devices are stopped and the supply in the field is not changed in a comprehensive way, Fluorite prices in China have risen slightly this week. Up to now, the main stream of fluorite negotiation in China is 2400-2600 yuan / ton. The high price of fluorite in the field is the cost support of hydrofluoric acid market, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price is mainly affected by stable trend.

The domestic refrigerant market is in a stable trend. In recent years, the sales of the automobile industry is normal, the refrigerant market is stable, the demand for purchasing is the main, the trend of the refrigerant industry is stable, and the price of various types of refrigerant is not changed much. However, the manufacturer is under pressure on delivery and the sales pressure is relatively high. The price of hydrofluoric acid of raw materials has declined slightly, and the cost support is lost. The refrigerant export volume has not changed much, The downstream air conditioning production is low, demand is scarce, after-sales market off-season effect continues, and refrigerant price remains stable temporarily. The overall refrigerant market is dominated by the air-benefit factors, and the prices of hydrofluoric acid and trichloromethane are lower, which makes the refrigerant industry under pressure. At present, the load of R22 manufacturers is not high, the inventory is in a reasonable range, the market price trend is stable, but the downstream receiving capacity is limited, the wait-and-see mood is quite many, the delivery of the carriers is normal, and some businesses still have the phenomenon of cost reversal. The main discussion in the field is 16000-17500 yuan / ton. The domestic R134a manufacturers operate under low load, and the price trend of R134a is stable. However, the current demand based procurement is the main, the downstream enterprises are not started high, and the traders have a strong wait-and-see mood. The market quotation of refrigerant R134a is mostly in the range of 20000-24000 yuan / ton, but the transaction atmosphere is general, the downstream refrigerant market trend is stable, and the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid is slightly lower.

From the industrial chain chart, the price trend of fluorine chemical industry has declined, the price of raw fluorite is not changed much, and the downstream refrigerant product price is stable. However, in recent years, domestic hydrofluoric acid plant is stable, the spot supply in the field is normal, and the downstream demand is not changed much. Chenling, an analyst with hydrofluoric acid in the business society, thinks that the market price of hydrofluoric acid will be stable temporarily.

According to statistics, the domestic ammonium nitrate price trend is temporarily stable this week. As of the weekend, the domestic market price of ammonium nitrate is 3480 yuan / ton, which is the same as that of the price at the beginning of the week, up 48.72% year on year. The ammonium nitrate commodity index on June 18 was 179.47, which was flat from yesterday, a record high in the cycle, up 131.96% from the lowest point of 77.37 on October 31, 2016（ Note: the cycle refers to February 1, 2013 to present).

This week, the domestic market price of ammonium nitrate remained high, the installation of domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers was generally started, the supply in the ammonium nitrate plant was normal, some manufacturers reflected that the price of raw materials of coal in the upstream was at a high level, the cost increased significantly, the price of the manufacturer reached a historical high, the supply of goods in the field was tight in the near future, the transportation was normal, and the market price of ammonium nitrate continued to rise. In recent years, the shipment of ammonium nitrate manufacturers is normal, downstream on demand procurement, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers started normally, some of them are at a historical high price. Up to now, the mainstream of negotiation in Shaanxi is 3500-3600 yuan / ton, Shandong negotiation is 2700-2900 yuan / ton, and Hebei is 4300-4400 yuan / ton.

The domestic price of concentrated nitric acid rose slightly this week, with the weekend price of 2300 yuan / ton, up 1.47% from the price of 2266.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, and the price of Anhui Jinhe was 2400 yuan / ton; Shandong helitai quoted 2300 yuan / ton. Shaanxi Xinghua quoted 2200 yuan / ton. Recently, the domestic maintenance equipment is in normal operation, the supply of concentrated nitric acid market is normal, the goods are generally transported in the field, the price trend in the nitric acid field has risen slightly, and the market price trend of ammonium nitrate is temporarily stable.

The price trend of upstream liquid ammonia rose this week, with the weekend price of 4400 yuan / ton, up 0.46% from the price of 4366.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week. The plant in the liquid ammonia plant is under normal operation, the spot supply is normal, and the price trend of liquid ammonia market is rising. On the basic level, the price of liquid ammonia in Shandong Province has risen. Due to the decline of inventory pressure, the factory commencement rate remains reasonable, and there is a certain price difference with other regions in China, and the price of liquid ammonia is small. The ammonia quantity in Shandong is basically in the state of supply and demand, which still supports the price. In the downstream, the current agricultural fertilizer has increased, the demand of downstream is general, and the market price trend of ammonium nitrate keeps high.

In recent years, the demand of the downstream civil explosive industry is normal, and the production and marketing of nitro compound fertilizer is normal, the demand for ammonium nitrate calcium has increased, and the price trend of raw material market keeps rising, and the price of coal market remains high. However, the spot supply in ammonium nitrate is general, and the cost increase has a positive effect, Business agency ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the market price of ammonium nitrate in the later period will be at a high level.