1、 Price trend
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According to the data of business agency, the domestic market price of maleic anhydride increased slightly this week. As of September 26, the average price of maleic anhydride by benzene hydrogenation remained at 13533.33 yuan / ton, an increase of 1.50% over the average price of 13333.33 yuan / ton on September 20, and an increase of 15.01% over the same period last month.
On September 26, the maleic anhydride commodity index was 127.49, up 0.32 points from yesterday, hitting a record high in the cycle, up 149.10% from the lowest point of 51.18 on April 14, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)
2、 Analysis of influencing factors
The start-up of domestic benzene maleic anhydride market increased this week. International crude oil rose and domestic chemical prices rose; The operating rate of downstream unsaturated resin decreased slightly, the resin market rose, the resin market just needed to be purchased, and the operation was cautious under power restriction conditions. As of the 26th, the solid anhydride in Shandong was about 13000 yuan / ton, the liquid anhydride in Jiangsu was about 13000 yuan / ton, the solid anhydride in Shanxi was about 13500 yuan / ton, the solid anhydride in Hebei was about 13500 yuan / ton, and the solid anhydride in South China was about 13800 yuan / ton.
Upstream, the price of pure benzene fell continuously this week, and the price fell broadly. The average price of pure benzene was 8480 yuan / ton on September 19 and 7760 yuan / ton on September 26, down 720 yuan / ton or 8.49% from last week. This week, the market price of hydrogenated benzene in Shandong fell sharply, at 8860 yuan / ton on the 20th and 8080 yuan / ton on the 26th, down 780 yuan / ton. The price of n-butane rose. As of September 26, the price in Shandong was 5540 yuan / ton.
According to the price monitoring of the trading society, in the list of commodity prices rising and falling in the 38th week of 2021 (9.20-9.24), there are 51 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the chemical sector, including 19 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 19.2% of the monitored commodities in the sector; The top three commodities were organosilicon DMC (39.68%), phosphoric acid (23.45%) and acetic acid (22.30%). A total of 20 commodities decreased month on month, and 8 commodities decreased by more than 5%, accounting for 8.1% of the monitored commodities in this sector; The products with the top three declines were dichloromethane (- 22.64%), chloroform (- 9.57%) and butadiene (- 7.83%). Both rose or fell by 2.39% this week.
3、 Future forecast
Analysts of maleic anhydride products of business society believe that at present, the domestic maleic anhydride market supply is limited, and some factories are pre sold to the National Day holiday. There is no inventory pressure in the factories, and the supply and demand is good. However, recently, due to the impact of film restrictions in Jiangsu, the resin starts or decreases, and the market wait-and-see mood increases. It is expected that the maleic anhydride market may fluctuate at a high level in the near future.
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