Price Trend

According to the data monitored by business associations, the price of potassium carbonate has been running weakly this week. The overall price of potassium carbonate has not changed much, with a drop of 0.18%. As of May 17, the average tax price of domestic light potassium carbonate from mainstream factories was 6775 yuan/ton, and the market has declined.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: This week, the market of potassium carbonate is not warm, the trading atmosphere is cold, while downstream purchasing is just in demand, resulting in the weak price of potassium nitrate. Some of the plants of the manufacturer have been shut down for overhaul. The low stock purchasing market has general momentum, and the weak quotation operation is the main reason. According to the statistics of business associations, the quotation range of domestic light potassium carbonate mainstream factory on May 17 is about 6 600-6 800 yuan/ton (quotation is only for reference). The quotation varies according to the purchasing situation.

3. Future Market Forecast

Potassium carbonate analysts believe that in the short term, the price of potassium carbonate is dominated by weak consolidation, while in the long run, the market still needs to wait and see, mainly affected by demand-side dominance.

On May 15, the fluorite commodity index was 100.44, unchanged from yesterday, down 21.22% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 104.10% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, the average domestic fluorite price is 2862.5 yuan/ton as of 16 days, the recent domestic fluorite plant start-up is normal, the mine and flotation plant start-up is normal, the supply of fluorite in the field is normal, the recent downstream commodity market is general, for the fluorite market purchasing on demand, fluorite Market price fluctuation. In recent years, the downstream units have been operating poorly, the fluorite spot supply in the field is normal, and the downstream terminal receipt is not good, resulting in a temporary stable market price trend. As of the 16th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia is 2700-3000 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian is 2700-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan is 2600-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi is 2800-3000 yuan/ton, and the price trend of fluorite is temporarily stable.

The market price of hydrofluoric acid in downstream fluorite is rising. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 11010 yuan/ton as of the 16th day. The fluctuation of market price of hydrofluoric acid has a certain positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general. The demand for fluorite is weakening and the price of fluorite is oscillating. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the price of on-site transactions does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in the general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal, and the price of fluorite has risen slightly. Chen Ling, an analyst of business associations, thinks that the price of fluorite market may rise slightly.

On May 14, the fluorite commodity index was 100.44, unchanged from yesterday, down 21.22% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 104.10% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, the average domestic fluorite price is 2862.5 yuan/ton as of the 15th day. Recently, the domestic fluorite plant started normally, the mine and flotation plant in the field started normally, the fluorite supply in the field is normal, and the recent downstream market is general. For the fluorite market purchasing on demand, the price trend of the fluorite market fluctuates. In recent years, the downstream units have been operating poorly, the fluorite spot supply in the field is normal, and the downstream terminal receipt is not good, resulting in a temporary stable market price trend. As of the 15th, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia is 2700-3000 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder in Fujian is 2700-3000 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan is 2600-3000 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi is 2800-3000 yuan/ton. The price trend of fluorite is temporarily stable.

The market price of hydrofluoric acid in downstream fluorite is stable temporarily. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 10820 yuan/ton as of the 15th day. The fluctuation of the market price of hydrofluoric acid has a certain positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant has declined, the demand for fluorite has weakened, and the price of fluorite has oscillated. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant plant surface starts at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,800 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change very much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal. The fluorite price has risen slightly. Chen Ling, an analyst of business associations, believes that the fluorite market price may remain stable.

The hydrofluoric acid commodity index on May 13 was 98.09, unchanged from yesterday, down 30.15% from the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21) and up 83.04% from the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price trend was temporarily stable on the 14th. Up to now, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price was 10 820 yuan/ton, and the domestic hydrofluoric acid start-up rate was less than 60%. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 10500-11000 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is about 10500-11000 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices increased, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand was not actually good, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable.

Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant plant surface starts at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,800 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Recently, due to the poor condition of goods, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is shaking.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, but the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid has decreased, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may remain volatile.

Price Trend

EPS prices rose slightly. Downstream trading is active, with the consumption of inventory as the main factor. According to the monitoring data of business associations, the price of EPS was 9800 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 9825 yuan/ton at the end of the week, with the price rising by 0.26%.

Upstream: The price of styrene is rising, and the main commodity is the contract.

II. Market Analysis

EPS market quotation: EPS market price rose slightly as a whole, Wuxi Xingda EPS ex-factory price, common material quotation for 9900 yuan/ton. The ex-factory price of Dongying Hairong EPS is 9800 yuan/ton for common materials. Jiangyin Hupao EPS ex-factory price, common material quoted for 9900 yuan/ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

At present, the EPS market is affected by the cost, and the market goes up. Short-term market is expected to follow the shock finishing of styrene. Price fluctuates 50-100 yuan/ton. Future market recommendations continue to pay attention to the guidance of styrene trend to EPS market.