According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, on November 12th, the ex factory price of cyclohexanone in Shandong Province, China was referenced at 6250 yuan/ton. Compared with November 1st (cyclohexanone price reference 6350 yuan/ton), the price decreased by 100 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.57%.
In early November, the center of gravity of cyclohexanone in Shandong continued to decline and operate
From the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, it can be seen that in early November (11.1-11.12), the domestic cyclohexanone market in Shandong Province showed a weak and downward trend overall. The atmosphere inside the cyclohexanone plant in Shandong is poor, with limited fundamental support. The focus of cyclohexanone negotiations continues to shift towards lower levels, with a cumulative adjustment of around 50-150 yuan/ton within half a month. As of November 12th, the ex factory price of cyclohexanone in Shandong is estimated to be around 6200-6300 yuan/ton.
Analysis of Market Factors
In terms of supply and demand: In early November, the overall spot supply of cyclohexanone in Shandong’s market was relatively abundant, and there was some pressure on the supply side to ship. The overall strategy was to maintain low inventory and prioritize discounted shipments.
In terms of demand: Currently, downstream demand for cyclohexanone is showing caution, with many inquiries hovering at low levels. The overall transmission of demand is poor, and there is insufficient support for cyclohexanone.
In terms of cost: Recently, the market for pure benzene, a raw material on the cost side, has fluctuated slightly, which still puts cost pressure on cyclohexanone. According to data from Shengyi Society, on November 11th, the reference price of pure benzene was 5205.33 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.64% compared to November 1st (5172 yuan/ton).
Market analysis in the future
At present, the trading atmosphere in Shandong cyclohexanone market is relatively weak, and the mentality of industry players is average. There is a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market, and downstream trading is cautious. There is a lack of obvious positive guidance in the market. The cyclohexanone data analyst from Shengyi Society predicts that in the short term, the cyclohexanone market in Shandong will mainly adjust its operation within a certain range, and specific changes in product supply and demand need to be monitored.

price trend
According to the bulk ranking data from Shengyi Society, the domestic PC market was mainly volatile in early November. The spot prices of most brands are fluctuating. As of November 11th, the mixed benchmark price of Business Society PC is around 14033.33 yuan/ton, with a price fluctuation of -0.94% compared to early November.
Root cause analysis
On the supply side: In the early stage of October, domestic PC aggregation enterprises conducted centralized maintenance, but since November, there has been a trend of mutual restart and maintenance. The restart of Lihua Yiwei Yuan is approaching, and Zhejiang Petrochemical’s maintenance arrangements cover multiple production lines. The industry’s operating rate has been reduced by 4% to 74%, and the weekly average production is around 62000 tons, a decrease from the beginning of the month. In terms of inventory, after early digestion, the position has dropped to a low level, easing the pressure on factory production and sales, and improving the pattern of abundant PC supply. Overall, the PC supply side has strengthened its support for PC.
In terms of raw materials, it can be seen from the above chart that the bisphenol A market continued to decline in November. The price position of upstream phenol acetone is relatively low, which is difficult to say for the bisphenol A market. In addition, the continuous weakness of bisphenol A consumption has led to a rapid decline in spot prices due to multiple factors. Although the current domestic market atmosphere is still bleak, spot prices have fallen to low levels, coupled with relatively controllable inventory, leading to increased price manipulation by enterprises and businesses, forming a bottoming force. It is expected that the price of bisphenol A will remain stable in the future, but the support for PC costs will still be weak.
On the demand side: The load position of downstream factories is still not ideal, and inventory is kept buying at low prices, with weak demand levels. Although maintenance has stimulated some brands to rise, the improvement in market trading activity is limited. At the same time, external news has disrupted the export market, and the overseas shipment of PC terminal products continues to be under pressure and weaken. Merchants within the range tend to follow the market trend and adopt a cautious and wait-and-see attitude. After meeting the demand for filling vacancies in the early stage, the market trading atmosphere returned to calm, and the speed of goods circulation slowed down again. Overall, the demand side provides moderate support for PC spot prices.
Market outlook
In early November, the domestic PC market experienced narrow fluctuations. The upstream bisphenol A market is weak at a low level, and the cost value has not shown any improvement in supporting PC. The load of domestic PC aggregation plants continues to decrease, but there are expectations of a short-term rebound in the market. The market trading situation has returned to weakness, with long and short positions in the market. It is expected that the PC market will continue to consolidate in the short term.

1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of November 7th, the reference average price of domestic urea market was 1615 yuan/ton, which is 1.57% higher than the reference average price of 1590 yuan/ton on November 3rd.
2、 Market analysis
market situation
This week, the domestic urea market prices have been running strong. Affected by export quotas and a new round of label printing, the urea futures and spot markets have risen. As of November 7th, the urea market prices in Shandong are around 1550-1620 yuan/ton, Hebei is around 1560-1600 yuan/ton, Henan is around 1530-1610 yuan/ton, Hubei is around 1540-1600 yuan/ton, and Liaoning is around 1620-1640 yuan/ton.
Supply and demand situation
This week, the domestic urea market has sufficient supply and increased demand. In terms of supply, the daily production of urea remains high, and supply pressure still exists. In terms of demand, after the recent phosphorus composite conference, the demand for winter storage of fertilizers has begun to advance, and the demand for downstream raw material procurement has increased.
3、 Future forecast
The urea analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the recent trend of the domestic urea market has been dominated. At present, the demand for urea in the market is improving, and the dual positive effects of exports and a new round of printing have increased the market’s optimism. It is expected that in the short term, domestic urea prices will mainly experience a strong upward trend.

There has been no significant improvement in the fundamentals this week, but downstream users have followed up with low-priced restocking to stimulate suppliers to slightly increase their quotes. As of November 7th, the mainstream tank discharge price in East China ports has increased by 8050-8100 yuan/ton, an increase of 50-100 yuan/ton compared to last week; Short distance delivery to the Shandong market costs 7900-8000 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan/ton compared to last week.
Loose supply:
Supply remains loose during the cycle, with some companies experiencing an increase in inventory. However, in the short term, downstream users are following up to replenish factory inventory, which is still controllable and stimulates suppliers to slightly increase their quotes. According to statistics, as of November 6th, the weekly capacity utilization rate of domestic acrylonitrile factories has reached 77.99%, with a weekly output of about 88900 tons, which is 0.16 million tons compared to the previous cycle. The total inventory is about 52600 tons, which is+0.18 million tons compared to last week.
Decreased demand:
This week, the capacity utilization rate of major downstream industries has decreased, with ABS capacity utilization rate at 71.6%, a decrease of -0.5% compared to last week; The capacity utilization rate of acrylic fiber enterprises was 73.39%, unchanged from last week; The utilization rate of acrylamide production capacity was 53.28%, which was -0.65% compared to last week, indicating a decrease in overall demand for raw materials.
Cost reduction:
This week, the upstream propylene price continued to decline, and the cost support for acrylonitrile weakened. As of November 7th, the market price of propylene in Shandong was 6000-6050 yuan/ton, a decrease of 120-150 yuan/ton from last weekend’s 6150-6170 yuan/ton. At the same time, the price of acrylonitrile slightly increased, and the production loss situation significantly improved this week. According to statistics, the average production cost of acrylonitrile this week was 8146 yuan/ton, with a month on month decrease of -2.75%. The average production profit of acrylonitrile during the same period was -105 yuan/ton, with a month on month increase of 351 yuan/ton.
In the later forecast, the fundamentals are still weak, the overall supply is loose, and downstream buying is once again becoming cautious. The market continues to lack upward momentum. Next, we need to pay attention to the trend of the device and wait for further favorable developments.

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, on November 6th, the ex factory price of cyclohexanone in Shandong Province, China was referenced to 6300 yuan/ton. Compared with November 1st (cyclohexanone price reference 350 yuan/ton), the price decreased by 50 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.79%.
Weak fundamentals: In the first week of November, the focus of the cyclohexanone market in Shandong Province was narrowly lowered
From the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, it can be seen that in the first week of November (11.1-11.6), the overall market situation of cyclohexanone in Shandong Province, China, experienced a narrow decline. During the week, the focus of cyclohexanone negotiations continued to shift towards the low-end market. Some factories in Shandong have lowered their cyclohexanone shipment prices by 50 yuan/ton. As of November 6th, the ex factory price of cyclohexanone in Shandong is around 6250-6350 yuan/ton.
Analysis of Market Factors
In terms of supply and demand: Entering November, the overall supply-demand contradiction in the cyclohexanone market in Shandong still exists, with poor demand transmission and average demand realization. The overall supply side is loose, and the supply and demand transmission is slow, providing insufficient market support and lacking positive guidance.
Cost wise: The market for pure benzene on the raw material side is fluctuating, providing unstable cost support for cyclohexanone. As of November 6th, according to data from Shengyi Society, the reference price of pure benzene on November 6th was 5218.67 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.9% compared to November 1st (5172 yuan/ton).
Market analysis in the future
At present, the trading atmosphere in Shandong cyclohexanone market is light, and there is a certain bearish sentiment in the market. Downstream demand is cautious. The cyclohexanone data analyst from Shengyi Society predicts that in the short term, the domestic cyclohexanone market will mainly be weak and stable, and specific changes in supply and demand information need to be monitored.