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The cost is stable and the demand is poor, and the DBP price fluctuates and falls this week

DBP prices fell in shock this week

 

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According to the data monitoring of the Business News Agency, as of March 13, the DBP price was 9525 yuan/ton, down 0.65% from the DBP price of 9587.50 yuan/ton on March 6. The plasticizer DBP enterprises started steadily, the supply of DBP was sufficient, and the rise of raw materials was not supported enough. This week, the price of DBP fell sharply.

 

The price of raw materials fluctuated and consolidated this week

 

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of March 13, the price of ortho phthalic anhydride was 8637.50 yuan/ton, up 1.92% from the price of 8475 yuan/ton on March 6. The price of o-xylene rose, and the willingness of phthalic anhydride to stand up was strong. The price of phthalic anhydride rose in shock this week, and the rising power of DBP increased.

 

According to the price monitoring of the Business Agency, as of March 13, the price of n-butanol was 7300 yuan/ton, down 1.35% from that of March 6, 7400 yuan/ton. The start of n-butanol enterprises this week was stable, and the demand for the end of n-butanol downstream stock was poor. The price of n-butanol this week fell in shock, and the cost of DBP fell. The rising power of DBP in the future weakened, and the downward pressure increased.

 

Downstream PVC market fluctuated and fell

 

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the PVC price was 6225 yuan/ton as of March 13, down 0.29% from the PVC price of 6243.33 yuan/ton on March 1; The price of PVC fell by 0.35% from 6246.67 yuan/ton on March 6. In March, the spot price of PVC fluctuated and fell, the transaction of PVC spot market was tepid, the enthusiasm of downstream and traders to take goods was poor, the demand for DBP was poor, and the downward pressure of DBP remained.

 

Aftermarket expectation

 

According to DBP data analysts of Business News Agency, plasticizer enterprises started work steadily this week and DBP supply was sufficient; In terms of raw materials, phthalic anhydride rose in shock, n-butanol prices fell in shock, and DBP raw material costs consolidated; In terms of demand, the downstream PVC price fluctuated and fell, and the demand for plasticizers was poor. In the future, the cost of plasticizer DBP tends to stabilize and the demand is less than expected. It is expected that the price of plasticizer DBP will fluctuate and consolidate in the future.

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Average demand, narrow adjustment of polyethylene price

According to the data monitoring of the Business News Agency, the domestic price of LLDPE (7042) was 8354 yuan/ton on March 6, and the average price on March 10 was 8351 yuan/ton, with a decline of 0.03% during the period, up 0.14% from March 1.

 

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According to the data monitoring of the Business News Agency, the average ex-factory price of LDPE (2426H) was 9120 yuan/ton on March 6, and the average price on March 10 was 9120 yuan/ton. During the period, the price was stable, 0.55% higher than that on March 1.

 

According to the data monitoring of Business News Agency, the average ex-factory price of HDPE (5000S) was 8566 yuan/ton on March 6 and 8600 yuan/ton on March 10, with an increase of 0.39% during the period, up 0.78% from March 1.

 

Polyethylene rose and fell this week. LLDPE rose first and then fell, while LDPE and HDPE prices were mainly stable after rising. At the cost side, the international crude oil price fell under the pressure of interest rate increase, which had a certain impact on domestic polyethylene. At the supply side, there are many temporary maintenance devices in the week, the supply pressure is not large, and the enterprise has a strong attitude of price fixing. Downstream demand, plastic film continued to boom, demand for plastic film weakened, downstream procurement demand was less than expected, and order increase was limited.

 

Polyethylene is under pressure to put new units into production, and there are few new orders in the market. The demand for pipes is expected to gradually recover with the real estate. In the short term, the PE analyst of the business association predicts that PE may be adjusted in a narrow range.

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The formic acid market has been strong since March

According to the bulk list data of Business News Agency, as of March 8, the average price of domestic industrial 85% formic acid enterprises was 3587.50 yuan/ton, up 0.35% from March 1.

 

Thiourea

Since March, the domestic industrial grade 85% formic acid market has been operating steadily. Recently, the price of raw material sulfuric acid has risen, and the market of raw material methanol has fluctuated in a narrow range. There is some support for the cost side. The operating rate of formic acid is about 75%, which has improved compared with the previous period. The supply side is sufficient. The demand of the main downstream formate market is stable, and the demand for feed, medicine, etc. is improving, which supports the stable rise of the market price of formic acid, and the market atmosphere is active.

 

Upstream products: upstream sulfuric acid, the domestic market price of sulfuric acid was temporarily stable on March 7, and the reference price of sulfuric acid was 256.67 on March 7, up 1.32% from March 1 (253.33); According to the monitoring of the Business News Agency, the reference price of methanol on March 7 was 2680.83, down 2.01% from March 1 (2735.83).

 

According to the formic acid analysts of the Business Society, the current cost support continues and the supply side recovers, but the demand side is stable and improving, which boosts the mentality of the industry. It is expected that the domestic industrial grade 85% formic acid market will mainly run at a high level in a short time, and more attention needs to be paid to the guidance of market news.

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Fundamentals support the shock and rise of DBP prices this week

DBP prices rose in shock this week

 

Thiourea

According to the data monitoring of the Business Agency, as of March 6, the DBP price was 9587.50 yuan/ton, up 1.32% from 9775 yuan/ton on February 27. This week, the plasticizer DBP enterprises started to recover, the supply of DBP was stable, the basic support for the rise of raw material prices remained, and the price of DBP rose in shock this week.

 

The price of raw materials fluctuated and rose this week

 

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, as of March 6, the price of ortho phthalic anhydride was 8475 yuan/ton, up 1.80% from the price of 8325 yuan/ton on February 27. The price of o-xylene rose, and the willingness of phthalic anhydride to stand up was strong. The price of phthalic anhydride rose in shock this week, and the DBP had a strong upward momentum.

 

According to the price monitoring of the Business Agency, as of March 6, the price of n-butanol was 7400 yuan/ton, up 5.21% from 7033.33 yuan/ton on February 27. This week, n-butanol enterprises started to recover, and n-butanol intra-field trading resumed. The price of n-butanol rose in shock this week, and the cost of DBP rose. The momentum of DBP rise in the future is large.

 

Aftermarket expectation

 

According to DBP data analysts of Business News Agency, plasticizer enterprises started to recover this week, and DBP supply was sufficient; In terms of raw materials, phthalic anhydride rose slightly, the price of n-butanol rose sharply, and the cost of DBP raw materials rose; In terms of demand, downstream customers are looking for bargains to replenish stocks, and the demand for DBP is slowly recovering this week. In the future, the demand for plasticizer DBP rose slowly and the price of DBP is expected to rise slightly.

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The price of carbon black fluctuated strongly this week (2.27-3.3)

According to the data monitored by the Business News Agency, the domestic carbon black price was 11733 yuan/ton on March 3, and the domestic carbon black market price fluctuated slightly this month.

 

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Cost side: The current high price of high-temperature coal tar as raw material has been consolidated, and some coke enterprises are limited to start operation due to the impact of environmental protection inspection. The supply of coke enterprises is reduced, and the supply of coal tar market is still tight, presenting a situation of tight supply and high price. Carbon black enterprises are under great pressure to receive goods. Most enterprises are in a loss situation, and the resistance to coal tar is rising. However, coke enterprises have a strong willingness to support the price, and it is expected that the decline of coal tar price will be limited..

 

Supply and demand: At present, the operating rate of carbon black enterprises is stable, and some carbon black enterprises plan to raise production. The market supply is sufficient.

 

In terms of downstream tire enterprises, the overall operating rate has increased, and the purchase is just needed, but there is still resistance to the current carbon black price, and the market trading atmosphere is general.

 

In general, the high price of high temperature coal tar as raw material supports the price of carbon black. At present, the demand for carbon black from downstream tire enterprises is increasing. On the whole, the favorable factors in the market occupy the top position. It is comprehensively estimated that the carbon black market will be stable, medium and strong in the short term.

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