On July 23, the ammonium nitrate commodity index was 103.51, which was the same as yesterday. It was 12.59% lower than the peak of 118.42 points (2019-01-15) in the cycle, and 33.79% higher than the low of 77.37 points on October 31, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2013-02-01 to date).

Recently, domestic ammonium nitrate market price trend is temporarily stable. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plant shuts down more, domestic ammonium nitrate plant starts less, but recently with the warming of the weather, the influence of northern air limitation disappears. In addition, due to the complete shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers have more stockpiles. Domestic prices are declining. As of the 23rd, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiations in 1900-2050 yuan/ton, affected by environmental protection, so now many manufacturers in many areas are forced to limit production or stop production and maintenance for environmental protection inspection, the price trend of ammonium nitrate on the site is temporarily stable.

Recently, the domestic nitric acid price trend has been slightly lower, up to 23 days, the market price is 1756.67 yuan/ton. The declining trend of nitric acid price has a negative impact on the ammonium nitrate market. The price trend of ammonium nitrate keeps low. The domestic liquid ammonia Market in the upstream is rising slightly, the market performance is general, and the market turnover is still acceptable. The impact of increased travel costs, transaction stability, the majority of manufacturers inventory pressure slightly eased compared with the previous period, some maintenance-oriented, most manufacturers in North China supply performance is still acceptable, manufacturers in the northern region quoted price maintained in 3300 yuan/ton, northwest region quoted price in 2800-3000 yuan/ton, the normal shipment of manufacturers, Reasonable purchasing of downstream manufacturers and rising prices of raw materials in the upstream have a positive impact on the ammonium nitrate market. The price trend of ammonium nitrate Market is temporarily stable. At the end of the peak season of the downstream civil explosion industry recently, the demand for ammonium nitrate has weakened and the stocks of ammonium nitrate manufacturers have increased, but the liquid ammonia market is on the rise again. The ammonium nitrate Market is shaking at a low level because of the bad market. Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material market price shocks, but the downstream demand is not good, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to maintain shocks in the later period.

The fluorite commodity index on July 22 was 110.53, unchanged from yesterday, down 13.30% from the peak of 127.49 points in the cycle (2019-01-03), and up 124.61% from the low of 49.21 points on December 18, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic fluorite price trend is temporarily stable, the average domestic fluorite price is 3150 yuan/ton as of 22 days. Recently, the domestic fluorite plant started normally, the mine and flotation plant started normally, the supply of fluorite in the field is slightly tight, the price of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream is rising recently. For the fluorite market, the price trend of fluorite market is on demand. Rise. Recent downstream installation start-up situation is general, fluorite spot supply is normal, terminal downstream pick-up situation improved, resulting in rising market price trend. As of the 22nd, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Inner Mongolia was 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of 97 fluorite wet powder negotiations in Fujian was 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Henan was 2900-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of 97 fluorite wet powder in Jiangxi was 3000-3300 yuan/ton.

The price trend of hydrofluoric acid in the downstream of fluorite is temporarily stable. The domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12080 yuan/ton as of 22. The fluctuation of the market price of hydrofluoric acid has a certain positive impact on the upstream fluorite market. However, the recent start-up of hydrofluoric acid plant is general. The demand for fluorite has weakened and the price of fluorite has oscillated. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price trend is stable. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water out of the factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery quotation is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. But the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen buy on demand. Generally speaking, the downstream industry is in a general market. In addition, the fluorite market supply is normal. Fluorite prices are stable temporarily. Business analyst Chen Ling believes that the fluorite market price may remain volatile.

Price trends

According to statistics, this week’s domestic ex-factory price of p-xylene showed a temporary steady trend, with an average weekend price of 7,000 yuan/ton, a temporary steady trend compared with the price of 7,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week, down 7.89% year-on-year.

II. Market analysis:

Products: This week, the domestic market price trend of p-xylene is stable, the domestic PX start-up rate maintains more than 70%, Huizhou refining and chemical plant runs steadily, Fuhaichuang plant starts a line, Pengzhou Petrochemical plant runs steadily, Yangtze Petrochemical PX plant runs normally, Jinling Petrochemical plant runs smoothly, Qingdao Lidong plant runs at full load, Qi Luzhou Petrochemical Unit runs steadily, Urumqi Petrochemical Unit starts about 50%, Hengli Petrochemical Unit runs normally, domestic p-xylene supply is normal, recent international crude oil prices rise, domestic market price trend of p-xylene is temporarily stable. The opening rate of paraxylene plant in Asia is over 70% this week. The supply of PX in Asia is normal. The price of PX external market declined this week. By the end of the week, the closing price of paraxylene market in Asia was 832-834 US dollars/ton FOB in Korea and 851-853 US dollars/ton CFR in China. More than 50% of domestic products need to be imported. The closing price of PX external market was lower. The decline has brought some negative effects to the domestic market, and the price trend of domestic PX market is temporarily stable.

Industry Chain: Domestic crude oil price closed down this week. As of 18 days, the price of WTI crude oil futures market in the United States was $55.30 per barrel, Brent crude oil futures price was $61.93 per barrel. This week, crude oil closed down sharply, losing some cost support for downstream petrochemical products. The price of PX market was temporarily stable. This week, PTA downstream market price trend slightly declined, this week’s decline was 0.86%. By the end of the weekend, East China PTA market talks were around 6450-6550 yuan self-lifting. Upstream raw material PX market price trend was stable. This week PTA plant start-up rate maintained about 90%, downstream polyester plant start-up rate about 86%, Jiangsu and Zhejiang textile start-up rate maintained 72%. About, downstream PTA and polyester products start-up rate maintained high, PTA price decline has a negative effect on the market price of p-xylene, the market price trend of p-xylene is temporarily stable.

Industry: This week, the textile industry has been in a turbulent situation, with high start-up rate, low crude oil prices and stable raw material PX market.

3. Future market forecast:

Chen Ling, an analyst with business association PX, believes that the recent decline in crude oil prices, coupled with a slight decline in PTA market prices, has little change in downstream textile industry startup rate and normal domestic PX market supply. It is expected that the price of PX market will remain volatile next week.

I. Lithium hydroxide price trend:

According to the data from the business associations’lists, the market price of lithium hydroxide dropped by 5.00% on Thursday (July 11) and 9.00% on June 18 as of July 18. Today, the mainstream price of lithium hydroxide in China is 74000-82000 yuan/ton.

II. Market analysis:

Products: Lithium hydroxide market price down. At present, Shanghai Yulun industrial grade lithium hydroxide is quoted at 8,200 yuan/ton, Zigong Tongfarong industrial grade lithium hydroxide is quoted at 74,000 yuan/ton, and Shanghai Oujin industrial grade lithium hydroxide is quoted at 81,500 yuan/ton. The specific price is one-sided.

Industry chain: upstream lithium carbonate negotiations focus on the low end, the market demand is weak, the lack of obvious good support, inventory gradually increased, manufacturers’willingness to ship obvious, downstream users just need to purchase.

3. Future market forecast:

According to business associations, the domestic industrial lithium hydroxide Market in the short term will be mainly stable.

On July 16, the hydrofluoric acid commodity index was 109.62, unchanged from yesterday, down 21.94% from the peak of 140.43 points in the cycle (2018-02-21), and up 104.55% from the low of 53.59 points on November 30, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

According to statistics, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid was temporarily stable on July 17, up to the present domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid was 12080 yuan/ton, and the domestic start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid was less than 60%. Enterprises reflected the shortage of spot supply of hydrofluoric acid in the field at present, and the recent situation of goods on the market has improved. Because of the high raw material fluorite, some hydrofluoric acid manufacturers are on the market. The market price of hydrofluoric acid is going up by adjusting the ex-factory price. At present, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 11500-12500 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is about 12000-12500 yuan/ton. Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices increased, spot supply decreased slightly, but demand did not change very much, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market rose.

Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid product price shocks. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions have improved, R22 refrigerant plant surface started at 60%, R22 market device start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main production enterprise bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the production enterprise does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipment. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. The domestic market price trend of R134a is not good, the start-up rate of production enterprises remains low, the refrigerant market demand is general, and the manufacturers mainly export their products. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much. Businessmen purchase on demand. Recently, due to the normal supply of goods, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is temporarily stable.

Refrigerant on-site transactions are general, refrigerant industry equipment start-up rate remains low, for upstream hydrofluoric acid market demand is normal, hydrofluoric acid spot supply is normal, Business Analyst Chen Ling believes that the hydrofluoric acid market may continue to oscillate.