1. Price trend
According to the data of the business club’s block list, the average ex factory price of powdered monoammonium was 2084.67 yuan / ton on January 18, and 2118 yuan / ton on January 25, with an increase of 1.6% in seven days.
According to the data of the business club’s block list, on January 18, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2440 yuan / ton, and on January 25, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium was 2490 yuan / ton, rising by 2.05% in seven days.
2、 Market analysis
In the middle and late January, the price of monoammonium phosphate continued to rise, the year was approaching, the purchase of downstream compound fertilizer came to an end, a small amount of replenishment, monoammonium phosphate stopped reporting, the number of enterprises increased, the main orders were issued, and the price rose slightly. At present, 55% of the factory price of ammonium phosphate in Anhui Province is 2105 yuan / T. In Hubei Province, the ex factory price of 55% ammonium powder is 2050-2100 yuan / ton, and that of 58% ammonium powder is 2150-2200 yuan / ton. The market in Henan maintains stable operation, and 55% of the ex factory price of powdered ammonium is about 2050-2100 yuan / ton. The price of 55% ammonium powder in Shandong Province is 2150-2200 yuan / ton, which is stable. The ex factory price of 55% ammonium powder in Sichuan is about 2000-2100 yuan / ton.
In the middle and late January, the price of diammonium phosphate continued to rise, the supply of goods was tight, the demand at home and abroad was good, the heat of inquiry increased, the sales pressure of enterprises was not high, and the price support psychology was obvious. At present, 64% of diammonium phosphate’s mainstream ex factory quotation in Hubei was 2500-2600 yuan / T, and 64% of diammonium phosphate’s main export factory quotation in Gansu was 2650 yuan / T. The price of 64% diammonium in Yunnan is 2750-2900 yuan / ton. In Guizhou Province, the mainstream ex factory quotation of 64% diammonium is 2850 yuan / ton, while in Heilongjiang Province, the first station advance collection quotation of 64% diammonium rises to 2950-3050 yuan / ton.
As a whole, the market of raw phosphorus ore continues to run at a high and stable level. At present, the downstream purchasing atmosphere is general, the operation rate of the mine is not high, and the orders are mostly from old customers. Near the Spring Festival, some terminal downstream enterprises in the domestic phosphorus ore market have stopped production one after another, and the business trading atmosphere is general. More concentrated supply of early orders, business community phosphorus ore analysts believe that the general demand, the recent phosphorus ore market adjustment is limited, will continue to be stable for operation.
Import and export data of monoammonium phosphate: in November 2020, China’s import volume of monoammonium phosphate was 450 kg, the amount was US $2, 412, and the average unit price was US $5360.00/t. In November 2020, China’s export volume of monoammonium phosphate is 253400 tons, with a total amount of US $90212 560 and an average unit price of US $356.07/ton.
Import and export data of diammonium phosphate: in December 2020, China’s import volume of diammonium phosphate was 76kg, the amount was 424 US dollars, and the average unit price was 5578.95 US dollars / ton. In December 2020, China’s diammonium phosphate export volume is 491400 tons, the total amount is 177402749 US dollars, and the average unit price is 361.03 US dollars / ton.
3、 Future forecast
Business community ammonium phosphate analysts believe that the current ammonium phosphate Market is warm, manufacturers have no pressure to ship, prices rise steadily. At the end of the year, the purchase of downstream compound fertilizer is coming to an end, with a small amount of replenishment, the stop of monoammonium phosphate, the increase of enterprises, the main orders, and the price rising slightly. It is expected that the price will not fluctuate much in the short term, and the stable operation will be dominant. The supply of DAP is tight and unchanged, the demand at home and abroad is good, the heat of inquiry is increasing, the sales pressure of enterprises is not high, and the price support psychology is obvious. Under the support of favorable conditions, DAP is expected to have a strong trend, and there is no lack of rising expectations.
| Thiourea |