1、 Price trend
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As can be seen from the above figure, the ex factory price of domestic potassium chloride was temporarily stable this week. This week, the factory quotation of domestic salt lake potassium chloride was 3190.00 yuan / ton, a year-on-year increase of 47.69% compared with the same period last year. The market price is about 3700-3800 yuan / ton. On the whole, the domestic potassium chloride market was temporarily stable this week. On December 10, the commodity index of potassium chloride was 101.27, the same as yesterday, down 2.45% from the highest point of 103.81 in the cycle (2021-10-12), and up 73.85% from the lowest point of 58.25 on August 6, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from March 1, 2012 to now)
2、 Market analysis
The quotation of mainstream domestic potassium chloride manufacturers this week is temporarily stable: the factory quotation of Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride at the weekend is 3190 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui kemico’s 62% Russian White potassium distribution quotation is 4100 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui kemico’s 60% white distribution quotation is 3950 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui Badou 62% Russian White potassium distribution quotation is 4100 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. Jinan bayat potassium chloride distribution quotation is 5000 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. The selling price of potassium chloride actually built in Shanghai is 4600 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; The price of 62% white potassium in the port is about 4000-4100 yuan / ton. Border trade 62% Russian White potassium will not be quoted temporarily.
From the downstream market of potassium chloride, the ex factory price of potassium carbonate was temporarily stable this week, with a quotation of 8133.33 yuan / ton, up 27.58% year-on-year compared with the same period last year. The ex factory price of potassium nitrate was temporarily stable this week, with a quotation of 5900.00 yuan / ton, an increase of 42.17% over the same period last year. On the whole, the downstream market of potassium chloride has been consolidated at a high level, and the demand for potassium chloride has increased.
3、 Future forecast
In mid December, the overall trend of potassium chloride market may rise slightly. The start-up of Salt Lake and zangge units has not reached full opening, and they have successively entered the winter maintenance period. The output of potassium chloride is gradually declining, and the supply of goods is tight. The winter storage market has started one after another, and traders take a small amount of goods. From the perspective of industrial demand, the overall operating rate of the downstream market of potassium chloride is not high, and it is mainly just needed to purchase. While the international potash price is high, the domestic potash is still likely to rise. Potassium chloride analysts of business society believe that the domestic potassium chloride price may fluctuate slightly in the short term, focusing on the news related to large contracts.
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