According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic natural rubber spot market has been fluctuating and consolidating recently (12.1-12.22). As of December 22, the spot rubber market price in China’s natural rubber market was around 14950 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.34% from 14900 yuan/ton at the beginning of the month. As of December 22, the mainstream price for 24 years of Guangken, Baodao, and Haibao latex in Qingdao area is 14900~15150 yuan/ton.
Recently (12.1-12.22), the continuous increase in Tianjiao inventory has had a bearish impact on the Tianjiao market. However, the price of natural rubber raw materials remains high, and downstream tire production has remained stable with a slight decrease, causing the natural rubber market to fluctuate and consolidate.
Recently (12.1-12.22), the prices of natural rubber raw materials have been consolidating at a high level. As of December 22, the price of Thai glue was 56.00 Thai baht/kg, unchanged from 56 Thai baht/kg at the beginning of the month. The current overseas rubber cutting peak season supply is gradually increasing, and the expectation of high raw material prices in the later period is expected to decline.
Recently (12.1-12.22), natural rubber inventory has continued to grow, with a relatively negative impact on natural rubber. As of December 21, 2025, the total inventory of Tianjiao bonded and general trade in Qingdao area was 515200 tons, an increase of 6.52% from 481600 tons at the end of November.
Supply and demand side: Recently (12.1-12.22), downstream tire production has slightly decreased, providing strong support for the natural rubber market’s demand. As of December 19th, the construction of semi steel tires by domestic tire companies has reached around 7.10%; The construction of all steel tires by tire enterprises in Shandong region has reached about 6.3%.
Market forecast: The price of natural rubber raw materials is expected to remain high in the short term and decline in the later period, supported by downstream tire demand. The inventory at Tianjin Rubber Port is expected to increase, and the overall natural rubber market is expected to consolidate weakly in the later period.
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