I. price trend
According to the monitoring data of business agency, the market price of domestic chlorinated paraffin increased in the third quarter of 2019. On July 1, the average ex factory price of grade-I product of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 was 5000 yuan / ton, and on September 30, the average ex factory price of grade-I product of domestic chlorinated paraffin 52 was 5200 yuan / ton, with a price increase of 4.00%.
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II. Market analysis
Products: at present, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in South China is 4600-5300 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in North China is 4500-5500 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in East China is 5000 yuan / ton, the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Central China is 5000-5500 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price of grade I product of chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northeast China is 5000-5500 yuan / ton. 。 The quotation for the first grade chlorinated paraffin 52 in Shandong is about 5000-5500 yuan/ton. The ex factory quotation of grade I chlorinated paraffin 52 in Northwest China is about 5000-5500 yuan / ton.
Crude oil: WTI’s November 2019 futures fell $1.11 per barrel on Monday (October 14) at $53.59; Brent’s December 2019 futures fell $1.16 per barrel at $59.35. China’s SC crude oil futures main contract 1912 rose 13 yuan to 464.8 yuan / barrel.
Industrial chain: the crude oil market rose and fell in the third quarter, fluctuating within the range. The mainstream price of liquid wax maintains stable operation, the manufacturer’s shipment is stable, and the inventory is low. The price of liquid chlorine remained stable. Some areas rose slightly.
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Industry: according to the price monitoring of the business agency, in September 2019, there were 46 kinds of commodities rising month on month in the list of commodity prices, including 30 kinds of commodities rising by more than 5%, accounting for 35.7% of the number of commodities monitored in the plate; the top three commodities were nitric acid (54.17%), butanone (37.13%) and hydrochloric acid (35.14%). There are 32 kinds of commodities falling on a month on month basis, with 13 kinds of commodities falling by more than 5%, accounting for 15.5% of the number of commodities monitored in the sector; the top three products falling are chloroform (- 20.83%), sulfur (- 16.35%) and R22 (- 14.00%). This month, the average rise and fall was 4.09%.
III. future forecast
Chlorinated paraffin analysts believe that the market of chlorinated paraffin rose in the third quarter. Up to now, the overall market turnover in October is weak, the downstream is cautious and the market holds a wait-and-see attitude. It is expected that the market of chlorinated paraffin will remain stable in the later period. It is recommended to pay attention to real-time market trends.
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