Spot price: according to the price monitoring of business agency, the average price of domestic polyester staple fiber spot market on January was 7151 yuan / ton, up 1.06% from the beginning of the week and 12.80% year-on-year. East China’s firm offer was around 7200 yuan / ton.
Futures market: on January 7, the futures price of PF main contract closed at 7392, up 2.84% from yesterday’s settlement price, and the settlement price was 7338; The trading volume is 206065 hands; The position was 120390, the position increased by 9005, and the basis was – 241. The main futures of domestic polyester staple fiber raw materials closed sharply today, with PTA rising 3.75% and ethylene glycol rising 3.98%.
Analysis: due to the cold winter weather and the tense situation in Kazakhstan, the crude oil price rose sharply overnight, and WTI New York crude oil CFD now closed above 80 (as of 17:20). With the rise of oil price and the improvement of PTA cost focus, the PTA price fluctuated sharply today, PTA (after maintenance) devices increased at the beginning of the month, and the supply is expected to decline. Recently, the temporary shutdown of some ethylene glycol units and the extended maintenance time of some units have led to a decline in the operating rate, a recent rise in oil prices, an increase in the cost focus of ethylene glycol, and a strong short-term operation of ethylene glycol. During the new year’s day, the polyester yarn transaction is good, and the inventory of the yarn factory continues to go. At present, the yarn factory receives more orders before and after the Spring Festival. Recently, the supply of polyester staple fiber has decreased slightly, and the downstream ordering atmosphere has improved, mainly due to the supplement of fabric orders in winter and the preparation of fabric orders in spring and autumn of the new year. The sharp rise in raw material prices has driven the price of staple fiber upward. Jiangyin Huahong polyester staple fiber plant is planned to be overhauled around the end of next month.
Forecast: in the future, the price of polyester staple fiber may fluctuate strongly due to the fluctuation of crude oil and PTA price in the short term. Pay close attention to cost side price fluctuations and epidemic changes.