Strong supply, weak demand, acrylonitrile market continues to decline

Market Overview: This week, the overall supply of acrylonitrile in the domestic market is abundant, but there is a lack of purchasing power. The planned production of facilities such as Zhenhai Refining and Chemical has suppressed market sentiment, and prices continue to decline. As of June 6th, the mainstream negotiation for container self pickup at East China ports remains at 8250-8350 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50-150 yuan/ton compared to last week; Short distance delivery to the Shandong market remains at around 8150-8250 yuan/ton, a decrease of 150 yuan/ton compared to last week.
Supply side: According to statistics, as of June 5th, the average capacity utilization rate of the domestic acrylonitrile industry reached 75.27%, an increase of 1.30% compared to the same period last week, with a weekly output of approximately 75800 tons.
Abundant inventory: Overall supply is abundant. According to statistics, as of June 4, 2025, the sample inventory of acrylonitrile factory was 44800 tons, an increase of+0.18 million tons from last week, and the inventory gradually accumulated.
Demand side: The capacity utilization rate of major downstream industries of acrylonitrile in China has not changed much, and the overall load of acrylic fiber has reached over 60%; The ABS industry has maintained a production rate of around 60%. As of June 5th, the ABS capacity utilization rate was 64.02%, an increase of 1.7% compared to the same period last week. Raw materials are purchased on demand, and the overall demand performance is average.
Overall, the current domestic acrylonitrile market is weak, and Zhenhai Refinery is about to start production with increased supply, but the demand remains flat. However, there has been a temporary demand in the South China region recently, which has to some extent slowed down the market downturn.

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On June 5th, styrene prices fell

Latest price: The average market price on June 5th was 7970 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.87% from the previous trading day.
According to the Commodity Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic price of styrene has been weak and declining. In terms of cost, crude oil fluctuates within the range, pure benzene is weakly consolidated, and the raw material side lacks support for styrene. In terms of supply and demand, the recent profit of styrene is still acceptable, and some units have plans to restart in advance. The downstream demand side remains stable with limited increment. Overall, the supply and demand side is expected to weaken. Under the bearish fundamentals, it is expected that the styrene market will operate weakly in the short term.

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This week, the price trend of ethyl acetate is relatively strong

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of the 30th, the price of ethyl acetate was 5456.67 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.43% compared to the price of 5433.33 yuan/ton on May 25th, and a decrease of 1.09% compared to the beginning of the month. The upstream market is experiencing strong fluctuations, while the downstream is following up on demand. Market transactions are still acceptable, and ethyl acetate companies are actively shipping, with a strong upward trend in price focus.
This week, the utilization rate of domestic ethyl acetate production capacity has decreased, and the market supply pressure has weakened. At the beginning of the week, raw materials rose and the supplier’s mentality was optimistic. Ethyl acetate enterprises followed suit and increased their prices. Downstream demand mainly entered the market according to demand, and there were many low-priced inquiries in the market. Some enterprises had smooth transactions, and the price of ethyl acetate remained firm. The partial price reduction of upstream acetic acid in the later part of the week has a negative impact on the market of ethyl acetate.
Looking at the future market, the ethyl acetate market is running steadily, with manufacturers having a strong mentality and downstream following up on demand. Enterprise sales are still acceptable, but the decline in raw material prices has weakened market support. It is expected that the price of ethyl acetate may be slightly lower in the later stage, and specific attention should be paid to changes in supplier equipment and downstream follow-up.

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The demand is gradually entering the off-season, and the PP market in May is consolidating and weak

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic PP market in May was consolidating and operating, with some brand products experiencing narrow price reductions. As of May 31st, the mainstream offer price for wire drawing by domestic producers and traders is around 7393.33 yuan/ton, a decrease of -1.18% compared to the price level at the beginning of May.
price trend
In terms of raw materials:
From April to early May, the US tariff policy was implemented, with tariff rates constantly changing and increasing to unprecedented heights. The tariff trade war launched by Trump has had a huge impact on the global economy. Crude oil, as a heavily affected area, has experienced a sharp drop in prices. With the release of many positive signals such as the suspension of tariffs during the mid May China US talks, crude oil prices have continued to rebound. In addition, the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East and Eastern Europe has increased the risk of crude oil supply, and prices have remained firm. At the same time, the decoupling of domestic propane trade is expected to gradually be lifted, and the cost pressure on PDH manufacturing enterprises may decrease in the future, but the differentiation of demand will hinder the growth rate. There is a certain degree of loose supply in the propylene sector, coupled with average digestion speed, resulting in price fluctuations and downward adjustments. Overall, the prices of PP raw materials fluctuated in May, with mixed ups and downs, providing moderate support for PP costs.
Supply side:
In May, the load of domestic PP enterprises remained stable with small fluctuations, rising and then falling back, and the market supply remained generally abundant. Overall, the current industry’s overall load level has increased by 1% to around 77% compared to the end of April, and the weekly average total output of about 750000 tons has also remained flat. The capacity loss caused by the maintenance plan of interval enterprises has been basically smoothed out by the restart of enterprises such as Lanzhou Petrochemical. At the same time, the new production capacity of 1.4 million tons in the next quarter is approaching, and there is a clear expectation of loose supply in the future. The total domestic inventory has narrowly decreased to below 820000 tons, but remains at a high level. Overall, there is still some suppression on the spot price of PP by the supply side.
In terms of demand:
In May, the demand for PP continued to be weak, and on-site trading gradually entered the traditional off-season. The goods were basically ready before the Dragon Boat Festival, and the market remained weak and rigid. The consumption level of plastic weaving terminal enterprises has returned to the off-season level ahead of schedule. With the passing of the small peak in material usage, the release speed of PP demand in fields such as construction and agriculture has slowed down. The news of the temporary suspension of tariffs between China and the United States in the early stage stimulated market sentiment, and consumption briefly increased. At the end of the month, the impact has cooled down, and although the export resistance of downstream PP products in China has decreased, the incremental delivery of export orders still needs time. At the same time, there is still supply pressure in the industry, and inventory still needs to be cleared, offsetting some positive factors. The current buyers are cautious in their purchasing operations to maintain production, leaning towards scattered small orders, and the market’s new order transactions are returning to a flat state. Overall, the performance of PP demand side in May was average.
Future forecast
In May, the domestic PP market price consolidation was weak. From a fundamental perspective, fluctuations in upstream raw material prices have provided average overall support for PP. The industry has abundant supply, inventory continues to be digested, and consumption has entered the off-season level. At present, the positive sentiment of macroeconomic policies is being digested, and the market is returning to supply-demand dominance. It is expected that the PP market will continue to consolidate in early June, and it is recommended to closely monitor the new production situation in the industry.

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Weak and stable operation of magnesium price before the Dragon Boat Festival (5.26-5.30)

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the magnesium ingot market in Shaanxi Province fell this week (5.26-5.30), with an average market price of 17050 yuan/ton at the beginning of the week and 16900 yuan/ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 0.88%.

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Last week, the magnesium market showed a narrow fluctuation adjustment trend. Entering the first half of this week, due to the lack of significant improvement in market demand and the financial pressure faced by some factories towards the end of the month, these factories have chosen to offer slight price reductions and promotions in order to win orders. At the same time, some factories have maintained stable quotes or temporarily chosen not to quote, resulting in the overall magnesium market continuing its weak and stable consolidation pattern.
Supply and demand side
Recently, the downstream market is still dominated by essential procurement, and some factories have flexibly adjusted their sales strategies based on market conditions and actively shipped goods. For factories without inventory pressure, the willingness to continue lowering prices and shipping is not strong. Currently, spot resources are relatively limited, and factories are generally unwilling to ship at low prices. Affected by external factors such as the uncertainty of US tariff policies and the slowdown in global economic growth, downstream buyers are currently generally cautious. In this context, it is difficult to achieve a significant improvement in the magnesium market in the short term. Given the limited stock reserves of factories, the magnesium market price may remain at the current level, showing a stable and narrow consolidation trend. Market participants are seeking new supply and demand balance points.
comprehensive analysis
In the current situation where overall demand is weak and there is no significant positive news to stimulate the market, it is expected that the magnesium market will still face many challenges in the short term, and the market will continue to be under pressure; However, considering that the current factory spot inventory is generally low, coupled with the continued existence of essential procurement, this will provide some support for the magnesium market price, and it is expected that the difficulty of further decline in the magnesium market will increase. On the whole, the magnesium market may maintain a weak and stable trend before the Dragon Boat Festival, and all parties in the market will pay close attention to the follow-up demand.

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