According to the data of the business club’s block list, as of May 20, the average quotation price of formic acid enterprises was 2733.33 yuan / ton, up 9.33% compared with last Thursday (May 13), up 10.81% compared with April 20, and up 35.54% compared with the same period last year.

Since May, formic acid market has been rising steadily, and the market price has risen again this week. On the supply side, Shandong ASDE Technology Co., Ltd. recently started the operation of 200000 tons of plant, and Nanjing BASF’s start-up load was maintained at about 90%. Rising costs combined with export demand are the main driving factors for the strong market this week.

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the price of formic acid of some enterprises is summarized (for reference only, the spot price of the merchants is in line with the market, and the actual transaction price of different brands, different specifications and products is mainly negotiated.)

On May 19, the market of upstream caustic soda in Shandong continued to be weak and stable. Now the mainstream ex factory price of 32% caustic soda is 400-490 yuan / ton. The company’s shipment is tepid, the downstream receiving situation is light and stable, and the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. It is expected that caustic soda will continue to operate with small fluctuation in the future; On May 20, the market of liquid ammonia in Shandong continued to rise; Upstream sulfuric acid, May 20, Shandong sulfuric acid market temporarily stable; The reference price of upstream methanol was 2725.00 on May 19, up 6.45% compared with 2560.00 on May 1.

Business analysts believe that overall, the current cost side has a certain support, and the demand side performance is fair. It is expected that the formic acid market will mainly run at a high level in the short term, and more attention should be paid to the change of raw material prices.

1、 Price trend

According to the business news agency’s block data list, the average price of domestic hips on May 19 was 13933.33 yuan / ton, down 0.48% from the previous day, up 7.79% from the beginning of the month, and up 9.77% from April 1.

2、 Market analysis

On May 19, the styrene market as a whole weakened slightly, driving the price trend of hips market. However, the price fluctuation was not big. The traders gave up profits to ship, the center of gravity moved down, and there was some pressure on sales. At present, the cost support is still in the market, but the demand side is not so good. Most of the downstream companies just need to purchase, and start from bargain hunting. The market transaction atmosphere is not good, and the short-term market is glued to the whole. Up to now, the mainstream price of hips is about 13650-14100 yuan / ton, Guangzhou Petrochemical 660 reference price is 14000 yuan / ton, Zhanjiang Zhongmei 990 reference price is 13700 yuan / ton, Shanghai Secco 622 reference price is 14100 yuan / ton, CITIC Guoan 688 reference price is 13650 yuan / ton, the overall market is stable.

In the international crude oil market, on May 18, the international oil price closed down. The settlement price of the main contract in the US WTI crude oil futures market was US $65.49/barrel, down by US $0.78 or 1.2%. The settlement price of the main contract in Brent crude oil futures market was at US $68.71/barrel, down US $0.75 or 1.1%. On Tuesday, media reported that the United States and Iran had made progress in restarting the Iran nuclear agreement, and the expected increase in supply made the oil price fall.

In terms of raw materials, on May 19, the styrene market as a whole declined slightly. Crude oil fell, while benzene and ethylene fell. Night market styrene weakness falls, has the suppression to the day opening. Although the supply of domestic styrene has increased, the inventory of the spot terminal is low, and the spot supply is tight. In the downstream, the three downstream prices are temporarily stable, and the demand is still low. However, the profit of the factory turns better, the demand for purchasing just needs increases, and the market is short of gas. To sum up, the cost of styrene is well supported. In the short term, the terminal will continue to go to the warehouse, and the inventory will remain low. The volume of tradable trade will be small, and the downstream demand will be temporarily stable. It is expected that the styrene market will still be in the shock consolidation stage after the rapid rise and fall in the short term.

3、 Future forecast

The business community believes that the current weakness of raw materials, coupled with the limited ability to receive goods downstream, and the lack of high price transaction, the hips market has declined slightly, but the cost support is still in place. Therefore, it is not easy for hips to fall deeply. The short-term market is stuck, and the price may decline steadily.

As of May 18, the average price of domestic industrial grade lithium hydroxide enterprises was 86666.67 yuan / ton, up 0.39% compared with last Tuesday (May 11), 7.88% compared with the price at the beginning of the month, and 7.88% compared with April 18, according to the data of business news agency’s block list.

Recently, the overall trend of domestic industrial lithium hydroxide Market is positive, the cost side has a certain support, coupled with the tight spot supply, the demand increment drives the market upward, the enterprise offer is strong, and the focus of market negotiation rises. According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the recent price of lithium hydroxide of some enterprises is summarized as follows: the external quotation of Shanghai Yulun industrial grade lithium hydroxide is 92000 yuan / ton; Zigong tongfarong industrial grade lithium hydroxide quoted price is 85000 yuan / ton; Shanghai oujin industrial quoted 83000 yuan / ton for industrial grade lithium hydroxide and 86000 yuan / ton for battery grade lithium hydroxide. The spot price of the merchants is in line with the market, and the actual transaction price is mainly through negotiation.

According to the data monitoring of business society, the average price of industrial grade lithium carbonate in East China was 87000 yuan / ton as of May 17, which was 0.46% higher than that at the beginning of the month (86600 yuan / ton on May 1). On May 17, the average price of battery grade lithium carbonate in East China was 90800 yuan / ton, which was 0.89% higher than the average price at the beginning of the month (the average price of carbon in East China was 90000 yuan / ton on May 1).

According to the lithium hydroxide analysts of business news agency, in general, the supply and demand of lithium hydroxide Market has strong support in the near future, and the focus of transaction has steadily moved up. It is expected that in the short term, the domestic industrial lithium hydroxide market may be relatively strong, and the specific trend needs to pay more attention to the market information guidance.

1、 Price trend

2、 Market analysis

According to the data of business news agency, the domestic potassium sulfate Market was stable in the second week of May. As of May 17, the average price of domestic potassium sulfate 50 particle samples was 2966.67 yuan / ton, which was the same as that at the beginning of the month, with a year-on-year increase of 6.91%.

The current price position of potassium sulfate is the accumulation of positive market from March to early April. At present, the domestic price of potassium sulfate tends to be stable, and it has been mainly in a horizontal deadlock since May. At present, the plant load of domestic potassium sulfate Mannheim enterprises has been adjusted respectively, and the overall level is the same, and the start-up rate is more than 70%. Shijiazhuang hehe chemical 52% potassium sulfate powder factory reference price of 3050 yuan / ton. Shijiazhuang Haofang chemical 50% potassium sulfate powder factory reference price of 2950 yuan / ton, the manufacturer mainly to meet the early orders. In terms of raw material potassium chloride, the recent market is also relatively stable, and the potassium chloride commodity index of Business Association on May 14 was 80.16. Last week, the actual transaction of potassium chloride market was not good. The main contradiction of the market as a whole is still that supply exceeds demand. It is expected that the potassium chloride market will be mainly consolidated at a high level. However, the improvement of potassium sulfate supply is limited in the near future, and the devices of individual enterprises are about to enter the maintenance stage. In terms of external market, potash market supply is also tight, global demand is still strong, and crop fundamentals are stable. The impact on domestic offer is general, and the arrival volume of port and border trade goods is not much.

3、 Future forecast

Potassium sulfate analysts of business news agency believe that: in the second week of May, the price of potassium chloride and potassium nitrate was stable, and domestic potassium sulfate cost support was strong. The cost side and the outside price act on the market at the same time, and the production and trade traders insist on the offer. At present, the potassium sulfate market atmosphere is not active, and the trading fluency is not ideal. It is expected that the domestic potassium sulfate price will continue to run sideways in the near future.

The market price of magnesium ingot rose again on the 14th

On May 14th, 2021, the total range of price range of ex factory cash tax of magnesium ingots (99.9%, acid free and simple packaging) in main production areas of China was 21500-22000 yuan / ton, which was mainly discussed by actual single parties.

The specific price ranges of each region are as follows:

The ex factory tax cash exchange in fugu area is 21500-22000 yuan / ton; RMB 22000-22100 / ton of cash exchange in Taiyuan area; 22100-22200 yuan / ton of cash exchange in Wenxi area; Ningxia area cash exchange 21900-22000 yuan / ton.

Magnesium ingot is the primary magnesium ingot of national standard (gb/t3499-2011); Non pickling, no wooden tray and non payment acceptance price, mainly for single negotiation.

After the festival, the price of ton rose by RMB 4000-5000 / ton

According to the data of business agency, the market quotation of main production area rose to 17400-17600 yuan / ton at the end of April. After the festival, the market quotation was high, low price goods sources were difficult to find, and the saving price increased, and the price of ton rose by 4000-5000 yuan / ton.

It is reported that the downstream end-users began to find low-cost goods on August, and the pre-season quotation inquiry was difficult. The market quotation reached 19000 yuan / ton on Monday, and it was continuously attacked in the next few days, reaching a historical market high of 20000.

This surge has been rising, catering to the trend of the soaring futures commodity market. The circle of friends spreads the paragraph “don’t bet tomorrow’s price, buy goods without skill, all buy early”, can also see that after the recent surge, market speculators see a high sentiment.

At present, the market has good trading and investment, and the manufacturers have strong willingness to settle prices. In the early stage, the stock traders have profit demand for shipment, and there is a certain bargaining space under the promotion of excessive profits.

The recent strong surge in magnesium ingot prices is mainly based on two factors:

Strong cost side support & expected improvement of supply and demand side

Strong cost side support

Cost side, in recent 1-2 years, the price of raw silicon iron is relatively strong, and the price of magnesium ingot has been relatively soft in the early stage. The cost factor has been increasing gradually.

The raw silicon iron market is affected by Ningxia energy dual control policy, and the low price source of goods has decreased sharply. In addition, the continuous operation of recent increase of the price of orchid products by the upstream raw material enterprises of ferrosilicon is added. The company has issued the notice on the price adjustment of Lancang products of the subordinate enterprises of Lancang group. The market has strengthened the expectation that the trend of ferrosilicon will be high and stable in the short term. The expected strengthening of the cost side support of magnesium ingots is expected.

In the main production area of magnesium ingot, most of the metal magnesium in Shaanxi is the recycling industry of Lancan ferrosilicon metal magnesium. The production of raw magnesium and coke powder (Lancan and clean carbon) is greatly affected by the price of raw coal, and the high production cost has greatly increased the pressure on production and operation.

Expected improvement of supply and demand

At present, domestic market demand is relatively improved, and the purchase is not up or down, the inquiry volume increases, the market is not much spot, and the spot supply is relatively tight.

On the one hand, the main production area manufacturers have not much stock, which is affected by the raw material price factors, and the initial start rate is not high and the production is relatively insufficient. At present, the spot of the factory is generally less, and some manufacturers start the pre-sale delivery mode. On the other hand, raw materials soared, and the factory price of magnesium ingots rose. The market of magnesium ingots is singing all the way, which helps some speculators to hoard goods. Some downstream small-scale customers, seeking low-cost sources, mainly to the early hoarding trade speculators, profit settlement and shipment.

Domestic demand is expected to be strengthened and import and export are also positive. According to exporters, export orders began to warm up and order volumes increased. The production abroad has gradually recovered, and the demand for magnesium ingots has risen.

Magnesium prices have hit a high of nearly nine years after the storm

According to the data of business agency, the magnesium commodity index on May 15 was 127.03, which was flat with yesterday, a record high in the cycle, up 74.78% from the lowest point of 72.68 on January 10, 2016（ Note: the cycle refers to March 1, 2012 to present)

We should be careful to stock up goods on speculation

At present, the coal price is relatively high, the cost pressure is relatively high, and the enterprise has not much inventory at present, and the pre-sale transaction accounts for a large proportion. The willingness of the manufacturer to settle the price is relatively sufficient. The downstream end users should have a proper amount of the primary storage to ensure the dynamic balance of magnesium used by the enterprise. If the stock speculation is the starting point, the current price is high and the risk is large, which tests the fast delivery capacity of the speculators.

The price of magnesium ingots has been constantly high, and the short-term surge is rapid. On the one hand, it is more testing the pressure bearing capacity of downstream, and it is expected that there may be a process of digestion and increase in downstream market. On the other hand, the price difference between magnesium and aluminum is back to the era when the price of magnesium is higher than that of aluminum, and the price ratio of magnesium is relatively weak.