1、 Price trend
According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the average price of domestic LNG on January 27 was 4023.33 yuan / ton, 116.7 yuan or 2.99% higher than 3906.67 yuan / ton the day before, and 30.2% higher than the same period last year.
2、 Analysis of influencing factors
On January 27, the domestic liquefied natural gas market rose by about 3%, and the liquid prices in Shaanxi, Shanxi, Ningxia and other places rose actively. The price in Shanxi increased by 400 yuan / ton. Last week, the price of liquefied natural gas fell sharply, and the price was generally concentrated around 4500 yuan / ton. The high price fell down, and the market returned to rationality. Entering this week, the liquid price stopped falling and rose, but the rise slowed down significantly compared with the previous period, and generally fluctuated in the range of 50-200 yuan / ton. In recent days, the temperature has dropped, and the northern region is facing the rain and snow weather again. The demand of urban fuel has picked up, and the pressure of liquid plant’s shipment is not big. At the same time, due to the rapid decline of price in the early stage and the sharp decrease of profit, the liquid plant actively supports the holiday. However, near the Spring Festival, the downstream users have a holiday ahead of time, the purchasing enthusiasm has declined, and the demand side may be weakened, and the liquid price in the future will continue to rise.
According to the data monitoring of business news agency, the average price of domestic LNG on January 27 was 4023.33 yuan / ton, 116.7 yuan or 2.99% higher than 3906.67 yuan / ton the day before, and 30.2% higher than the same period last year. Inner Mongolia increased by 50-200 yuan / ton, Shaanxi increased by 30-250 yuan / ton, Ningxia increased by 100-150 yuan / ton. The price of liquid rose positively.
Date of quotation (yuan / ton)
Inner Mongolia LNG 3700-4300 January 27
Shaanxi LNG 3850-4080 January 27
Xinjiang ﹣ liquefied natural gas ﹣ 2800-4000 ﹣ January 27
Ningxia LNG 3800-4000 January 27
Shanxi LNG 3850-4350 January 27
Hebei LNG 4500-4800 January 27
Henan LNG 4400-4800 January 27
According to the monitoring data of the business community, as of January 25, the average price of methanol producers in Shandong Province was 2335 yuan / ton. After the new year, the price rose by 1.08%, fell by 0.85% on a month on month basis, and increased by 4.12% on a year-on-year basis. Higher freight, higher costs for traders, domestic methanol spot market is relatively strong. In the future, the freight will not be reduced, the cost of traders will not be low, the enthusiasm of downstream procurement will not be high, and some downstream enterprises such as formaldehyde will stop for holidays one after another, with limited support from the demand side. Business community methanol analysts expect that the domestic methanol market in the short term consolidation.
Urea, January 27, Shandong urea market temporarily stable. In late January, the urea market in Shandong may fluctuate slightly. Urea analysts of business news agency believe that the current agricultural demand is general, and the industrial demand has declined. At the beginning of the week, urea supply is expected to fluctuate slightly in the short term, and the market will mainly fall. /p>
Dichloromethane: on January 27, the market of methane chloride in Shandong Province went down. At present, the completion rate of goods preparation in the downstream market of dichloromethane is relatively high, and the demand for dichloromethane is weak. In addition, the price of raw materials in the upstream is declining, which leads to a sharp drop in the price of dichloromethane. It is expected that the market of dichloromethane will be weak in a short time.
3、 Future forecast
Liquefied natural gas analysts of business news agency believe that: near the end of the month, the temperature drops, the northern region is facing the rain and snow weather again, the demand of urban fuel has picked up, the pressure of liquid plant shipping is not big, actively support the price, the year is coming, downstream users have to stop work and have holidays, the purchasing enthusiasm drops, the demand side may weaken, the liquid price continues to rise in the future, the action force is insufficient, and the expected callback probability is large.
| Thiourea |